NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	119		Excitement	8.2 [218]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +34.2%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	8.6 [184]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -6.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.02,0.34,0.34	0.07	0.28	0.00	18	51%	0.34	0	0.00	13	85%	0.11
DeAndre Jordan	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.01	14	71%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.01	-0.02	8	95%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.04	10	71%	0.18	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	17	45%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	4	80%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.03	0.02	17	71%	0.20	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.7	29.0	16.6	29.2	1.7	33.2	139.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -22.6%

LAC +43.4%

LAC +16.4%

LAC +19.2%

DAL -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.1	124.0	116.7	105.2
season	14.3	15.3		111.0	109.0
opponent	15.0	15.4		107.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.1	13.9	15.7	15.9	14.3
DAL	14.5	16.7	15.7	16.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	68	67	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-6	19	14.4	14.1	0.29	15.9	15.2	0.74
Blake Griffin	83	82	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-10	27	14.1	15.5	-1.42	15.7	15.7	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	81	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	0	7	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.8	14.7	1.15
Darren Collison	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-7	21	14.3	14.3	-0.05	15.5	16.2	-0.75
Chris Paul	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	0	7	13.4	15.1	-1.63	16.4	15.1	1.30
Jared Dudley	72	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.43	-11	18	-29	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Matt Barnes	42	40	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.31	0	7	-7	14.1	14.5	-0.34	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Willie Green	19	20	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.09	-12	19	-31	15.9	13.9	2.04	14.3	16.0	-1.69

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Larkin	26	27	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.04	12	-19	31	14.1	16.3	-2.16	16.2	13.6	2.61
Jae Crowder	33	33	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.13	4	-11	15	14.3	16.4	-2.06	15.5	13.7	1.88
DeJuan Blair	18	16	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-12	17	12.8	16.3	-3.51	12.2	14.7	-2.48
Vince Carter	51	52	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.19	-4	-3	-1	15.3	16.2	-0.92	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Samuel Dalembert	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	7	-21	17.5	14.5	3.04	14.9	13.9	1.01
Dirk Nowitzki	64	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.41	2	-9	11	15.5	16.0	-0.47	14.8	13.2	1.63
Brandan Wright	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	15.0	16.4	-1.42	13.9	14.7	-0.87
Shawn Marion	61	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.41	-9	2	-11	16.5	14.3	2.12	14.5	14.0	0.51
Monta Ellis	75	74	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	6	-19	16.3	13.6	2.71	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Jose Calderon	66	66	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.42	-14	7	-21	16.3	14.3	2.02	13.8	15.5	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.57,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.16,0	91.9%
WAS 87, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.42,0	91.4%
CLE 92, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.02,0	91.1%