NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	9.4 [80]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +30.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	36.3 [33]		LVP	Martell Webster (MIN): -25.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.31	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.31	0.02	0.26	-0.03	9	67%	0.41	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.16
Michael Beasley	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.17,0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	25	50%	0.34	1	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.19	0.18	-0.00	-0.02	12	82%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	12	31%	-0.19	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.01	6	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	18	58%	0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.09	-0.02	21	52%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Mo Williams	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	16	49%	0.08	5	-0.21	3	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	28.2	15.6	26.0	1.8	37.0	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -9.5%

MIN +34.6%

MIN +9.8%

MIN +20.1%

CLE -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	13.1	16.6	15.5	100.0	101.0	105.7
season	14.3	15.1		102.7	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.1		110.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	11.2	14.3	13.3	13.1
CLE	13.8	17.1	17.8	18.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	57	55	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.70	6	-5	11	12.8	13.7	-0.90	16.3	17.0	-0.67
Michael Beasley	85	83	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-8	17	13.0	14.2	-1.27	16.6	16.4	0.24
Martell Webster	66	62	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-4	9	13.0	13.5	-0.50	17.3	15.2	2.10
Corey Brewer	28	27	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	-1	3	13.6	13.0	0.61	18.4	15.9	2.57
Kevin Love	78	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	4	-7	13.1	13.1	0.04	16.2	18.5	-2.35
Wayne Ellington	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	-6	13	12.3	13.4	-1.12	17.2	16.4	0.87
Darko Milicic	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	7	-13	13.2	13.1	0.04	15.0	17.6	-2.64
Kosta Koufos	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	3	-5	14.2	12.8	1.37	17.7	16.2	1.45
Wesley Johnson	47	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	9	-17	13.3	13.0	0.32	15.6	17.6	-1.96
Jonny Flynn	41	41	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.23	-5	6	-11	13.7	12.8	0.90	17.0	16.3	0.67

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	23	24	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.22	0	-1	1	17.6	16.3	1.28	13.7	13.0	0.71
Ramon Sessions	33	35	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.23	-1	0	-1	17.8	15.9	1.91	13.7	12.8	0.82
Ryan Hollins	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	5	-11	16.8	16.6	0.20	12.6	13.2	-0.59
Mo Williams	79	81	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.34	7	-8	15	16.7	15.9	0.79	13.1	13.2	-0.12
Jamario Moon	53	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-7	13	15.5	18.0	-2.55	13.2	13.0	0.21
Antawn Jamison	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.61	2	-3	5	16.3	17.8	-1.49	13.0	13.5	-0.44
Anderson Varejao	83	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.64	2	-3	5	16.6	16.7	-0.11	13.1	13.2	-0.02
Anthony Parker	79	80	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	5	-11	16.1	19.0	-2.92	12.9	14.1	-1.13
Jawad Williams	44	47	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.43	-9	8	-17	17.7	15.7	2.05	13.0	13.2	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.58,0	90.0%
BOS 107, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.16,0	89.9%
CLE 111, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.74,0	89.9%