NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	8.8 [168]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +24.6%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	5.2 [254]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -31.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.18	0.00	13	57%	0.28	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.13	0.00	10	60%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	11	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Tiago Splitter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	47%	0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.09	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	80%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	5	79%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	0.02	20	45%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	17	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.12	-0.19	-0.00	20	32%	-0.22	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.4	28.2	16.4	25.1	2.7	36.5	134.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +83.4%

ATL +3.9%

DAL -23.1%

DAL -14.7%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	16.0	14.9	100.0	97.9	105.1
season	14.2	15.5		104.1	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	13.0	13.8	13.9	13.5
DAL	16.0	15.8	16.9	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	48	45	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.59	9	-6	15	12.8	14.2	-1.43	16.3	15.7	0.60
Al Horford	78	74	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.62	5	-2	7	13.0	15.8	-2.84	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Jeff Teague	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	3	-3	14.0	12.8	1.22	16.0	16.0	0.06
Tiago Splitter	26	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	-4	11	12.3	14.0	-1.73	16.6	15.8	0.82
Kyle Korver	67	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	3	-3	13.9	12.7	1.26	15.7	16.7	-0.97
Lamar Patterson	27	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	-2	7	11.3	14.4	-3.05	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Paul Millsap	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	7	-11	14.0	12.3	1.73	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Dennis Schroder	39	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	0	3	13.4	13.7	-0.30	16.6	15.7	0.91
Mike Muscala	20	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.20	-2	5	-7	15.8	13.0	2.84	16.2	15.9	0.27
Thabo Sefolosha	52	53	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.18	-8	11	-19	14.4	12.5	1.92	15.8	16.3	-0.48

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	7	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-4	5	17.6	15.9	1.68	20.0	13.0	6.96
Jeremy Evans	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-3	3	0.0	16.0	-16.01	2.0	13.7	-11.66
Raymond Felton	58	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-14	25	16.1	15.8	0.27	15.2	11.2	3.96
Deron Williams	72	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-10	17	16.2	15.6	0.55	14.5	11.0	3.56
Wesley Matthews	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-7	11	16.1	15.7	0.43	14.1	12.1	1.97
Zaza Pachulia	75	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-6	9	16.2	15.3	0.90	14.6	10.3	4.25
Dwight Powell	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	2	-7	16.4	15.7	0.68	13.0	14.0	-1.06
Jose Juan Barea	22	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	6	-15	15.7	16.1	-0.42	11.0	14.3	-3.38
Devin Harris	24	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	7	-17	15.6	16.2	-0.57	10.9	14.5	-3.56
Chandler Parsons	44	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	9	-21	15.8	16.2	-0.31	11.9	14.9	-3.05
Dirk Nowitzki	65	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	2	-7	15.4	17.3	-1.99	12.3	16.4	-4.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.22,0.15,0	90.9%
SEA 104, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.56,0.15,0	90.3%
MIA 85, CHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.32,0.28,0	90.1%