inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 85 Excitement9.9 [77] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +6.7%
Chicago Bulls 84 Comeback2.7 [311] LVPLuol Deng (CHI): -36.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.06-0.021446%0.123-0.0800%0.00
Derek Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00050%0.001-0.04850%-0.05
Gary Payton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.08-0.01950%-0.0400.00683%-0.03
Jason Williams-0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.020.031152%-0.002-0.051100%0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09-0.00-0.080.00545%-0.0900.001100%0.01
James Posey-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.13-0.01-0.110.01944%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22-0.13-0.10-0.011239%-0.135-0.09956%-0.06
Dwyane Wade-0.250,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.37,-0.32,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.16-0.10-0.01852%0.0810-0.3313100%0.10

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.07-0.011547%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00487%0.123-0.1200%0.00
Othella Harrington00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.021155%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Luke Schenscher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01150%0.012-0.0720%-0.02
Ben Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.001030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.06-0.10-0.00736%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.14-0.11-0.031639%-0.025-0.20450%-0.04
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28-0.28-0.03-0.240.00250%-0.102-0.18450%-0.06
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.36-0.360.03-0.39-0.001554%-0.292-0.07560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.431.415.729.02.531.2139.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -4.7%
MIA +27.1%
MIA +4.1%
MIA +14.4%
MIA +9.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game15.214.515.685.988.4104.4
season15.514.4106.1102.6
opponent16.115.5102.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.114.815.118.115.2
CHI15.214.014.214.414.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey58550.77-0.271.040.4511-102115.015.5-0.5514.814.00.76
Udonis Haslem58570.75-0.251.000.644-3715.914.21.7814.414.6-0.28
Dwyane Wade60600.59-0.090.670.387-61314.915.7-0.7914.813.90.87
Alonzo Mourning37320.400.100.300.49-34-713.516.2-2.7614.614.40.15
Gary Payton62590.320.180.130.46-56-1115.614.51.1614.314.8-0.51
Shaquille O'Neal62630.100.40-0.30-0.024-3716.213.52.7614.414.6-0.15
Jason Williams65600.050.45-0.410.11-23-514.816.1-1.2914.714.10.55
Antoine Walker5754-0.190.69-0.89-0.10-34-715.015.5-0.5414.015.0-1.03
Derek Anderson3635-0.280.78-1.06-0.04-89-1715.315.10.1914.314.6-0.33

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo17180.11-0.610.72-0.014-5915.914.21.7314.615.3-0.73
Othella Harrington770.10-0.600.690.013-4713.714.5-0.8112.015.5-3.46
Malik Allen56570.00-0.500.50-0.093-4714.913.81.1814.016.8-2.82
Luke Schenscher1414-0.04-0.460.410.04-32-515.614.31.3813.115.6-2.49
Chris Duhon4242-0.06-0.440.390.03-32-514.614.40.1915.015.3-0.29
Tyson Chandler3133-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-54-914.214.6-0.3515.015.3-0.32
Michael Sweetney2931-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.414-5914.014.7-0.6718.513.74.76
Andres Nocioni6669-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.472-3514.115.3-1.2215.215.20.02
Ben Gordon5458-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.480-1114.414.6-0.2115.315.10.15
Kirk Hinrich7780-0.570.07-0.64-0.48-32-514.215.8-1.6215.414.50.91
Luol Deng8286-0.660.16-0.83-0.46-76-1314.513.90.6315.513.22.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.32,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 93, MEM 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.04,090.3%
DET 82, BOS 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.42,090.3%
MIL 88, NJN 850.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.22,0.15,090.2%