NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	9.6 [87]		MVP	Matt Barnes (MEM): +65.5%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	25.9 [38]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -23.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.66	-0.00	0.66	0.00	7	57%	0.71	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	74%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	18	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.14
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	6	36%	0.01	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	13	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.01	18	50%	-0.05	6	-0.19	2	50%	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	18	46%	0.17	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.10	0.00	13	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	15	51%	0.07	6	-0.19	5	40%	-0.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	11	41%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	28.1	15.5	25.2	1.8	33.1	126.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +56.9%

DET -11.2%

MEM +11.1%

DET -9.3%

MEM +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	14.9	98.9	100.0	105.1
season	15.7	15.0		103.4	104.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		105.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	16.0	14.0	16.3	15.7
DET	15.9	13.3	14.8	17.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	60	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-2	5	14.8	17.4	-2.57	15.3	15.2	0.05
Zach Randolph	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-4	9	16.4	14.0	2.42	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Courtney Lee	58	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.61	-4	5	-9	14.9	17.0	-2.13	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Mike Conley	56	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.62	-5	6	-11	16.5	14.5	2.04	15.4	15.1	0.25
Marc Gasol	69	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.51	-2	3	-5	15.7	15.9	-0.23	15.9	13.7	2.17
JaMychal Green	30	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	-5	11	15.2	16.0	-0.75	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Mario Chalmers	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	-3	7	14.7	16.5	-1.79	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Tony Allen	42	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.18	4	-3	7	16.2	15.3	0.86	15.7	14.8	0.90
Jeff Green	48	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.05	-6	7	-13	16.8	14.6	2.20	14.6	15.9	-1.25

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	32	35	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-8	15	15.0	15.4	-0.34	15.5	15.8	-0.36
Darrun Hilliard	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-1	1	15.8	15.2	0.60	16.8	15.5	1.23
Anthony Tolliver	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-1	1	16.1	15.0	1.13	17.2	15.2	1.95
Aron Baynes	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	4	-9	15.8	15.1	0.75	17.3	15.2	2.09
Steve Blake	30	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-1	1	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Ersan Ilyasova	67	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	2	-5	15.1	15.6	-0.43	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Andre Drummond	70	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-5	9	15.1	15.8	-0.75	15.2	17.3	-2.09
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-1	1	15.1	15.8	-0.77	15.2	17.2	-1.95
Reggie Jackson	62	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	0	-1	15.3	15.2	0.07	16.2	14.8	1.41
Marcus Morris	71	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	6	-13	15.3	15.2	0.08	16.2	14.2	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.73,0	92.5%
HOU 90, LAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.91,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.72,0	91.2%
WAS 91, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,0	90.8%