inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 85 Excitement7.6 [327] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +12.6%
Denver Nuggets 74 Comeback3.3 [451] LVPKenneth Faried (DEN): -22.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.050.040.02-0.001462%0.133-0.0710%-0.02
Shabazz Napier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.06-0.01743%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,00.04-0.040.011359%0.052-0.053100%0.02
Evan Fournier-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.06-0.00721%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mario Hezonja-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00757%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.060.05-0.040.061556%0.002-0.062100%0.00
Channing Frye-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0130%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Jason Smith-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.030.00517%-0.061-0.042100%0.01
Victor Oladipo-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.050.001437%-0.044-0.14250%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.07-0.032346%0.161-0.04450%-0.04
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00633%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.040.02383%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.06-0.00837%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.10-0.001443%-0.091-0.032100%0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.040.00550%-0.005-0.132100%0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.07-0.001038%-0.054-0.14633%-0.08
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.16-0.09-0.021223%-0.192-0.04650%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.425.915.025.22.329.4124.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +38.9%
ORL +6.9%
ORL +1.7%
ORL +0.5%
ORL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDENNBAORLDENNBA
this game14.114.814.985.074.7105.1
season14.614.9103.6104.3
opponent14.914.9107.8105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.514.215.114.814.1
DEN14.213.015.517.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Fournier53530.75-0.251.010.2916-52113.614.7-1.1016.013.62.40
Nikola Vucevic70690.62-0.120.750.1516-52114.413.31.1414.815.0-0.22
Elfrid Payton70700.380.120.270.0013-21513.715.1-1.3813.817.4-3.68
Victor Oladipo67660.320.180.140.1174314.513.31.1415.513.51.95
Tobias Harris67660.260.240.02-0.03101914.213.90.2414.116.4-2.27
Channing Frye52510.250.250.010.0574313.614.6-0.9713.716.1-2.36
Shabazz Napier27250.150.35-0.210.15011-1115.513.61.8917.713.93.79
Andrew Nicholson41410.020.48-0.460.13-415-1914.713.71.0716.613.63.05
Jason Smith3030-0.120.62-0.750.02-516-2113.314.4-1.1415.014.80.22
Mario Hezonja2324-0.140.64-0.770.01-516-2113.514.3-0.7512.215.7-3.43

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur16150.07-0.570.63-0.023-141714.315.0-0.6413.514.2-0.75
Nikola Jokic3536-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-131515.514.50.9913.614.4-0.72
Mike Miller2223-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-8513.815.1-1.3213.714.2-0.47
Danilo Gallinari7778-0.16-0.340.170.04-7-4-314.615.6-0.9514.512.81.70
Jameer Nelson5052-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-6115.014.70.2314.913.21.63
Emmanuel Mudiay4948-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-6-5-114.715.0-0.2313.214.9-1.63
Kenneth Faried7475-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-4-315.014.30.7114.114.2-0.13
Will Barton7676-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-7-4-314.815.0-0.2014.911.43.53
JJ Hickson5959-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.22-7-4-314.814.8-0.0014.513.51.04
Randy Foye3738-0.620.12-0.74-0.09-187-2515.314.60.6711.915.4-3.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.05,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 90, LAC 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.4,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.27,092.2%
BOS 99, NYK 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.05,092.0%
NJN 89, CHH 790.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,091.7%