NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	7.9 [259]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +10.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	2.6 [279]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -35.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1	0.08	0.07	0.06	10	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Jeff Green	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	57%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jon Leuer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	42%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	12	23%	-0.22	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	15	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.06,0.15,-0.35	-0.35	0.09	-0.43	0.01	22	65%	0.10	4	-0.46	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	28.2	15.7	25.0	2.4	38.5	134.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -18.3%

MEM +16.1%

MEM +5.1%

MEM +42.5%

MEM +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.1	96.8	94.6	104.2
season	15.9	14.6		103.8	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.6	15.1	15.8	16.2	16.4
LAC	12.7	14.9	17.0	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	67	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	3	-3	16.4	16.4	-0.02	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Tony Allen	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	0	3	15.4	17.9	-2.51	15.0	14.2	0.84
Zach Randolph	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	0	3	16.6	16.0	0.56	14.0	16.1	-2.13
Courtney Lee	56	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	4	-5	17.7	14.5	3.19	14.1	15.6	-1.42
Nick Calathes	31	33	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-4	11	15.4	16.9	-1.58	15.8	14.1	1.67
Kosta Koufos	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	-2	7	14.9	17.4	-2.47	15.1	14.4	0.70
Jeff Green	66	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	3	-3	16.8	15.4	1.46	15.1	13.9	1.19
Marc Gasol	57	57	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	5	-7	17.5	14.7	2.75	14.8	14.7	0.10
Beno Udrih	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-1	5	14.6	16.8	-2.15	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Jon Leuer	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	16.5	16.4	0.08	15.9	14.5	1.43

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	16.2	14.5	1.66	15.6	16.5	-0.94
Glen Davis	24	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	2	-7	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.6	17.1	-2.49
Chris Paul	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-7	11	14.7	14.8	-0.06	17.0	14.0	2.99
Matt Barnes	67	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-4	5	14.6	15.2	-0.61	17.2	14.0	3.19
DeAndre Jordan	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-5	7	14.6	15.1	-0.42	16.8	14.3	2.55
Austin Rivers	24	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	5	-13	15.0	14.6	0.38	13.1	17.6	-4.48
Spencer Hawes	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-1	-1	14.4	15.3	-0.91	16.9	15.5	1.39
Jamal Crawford	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	3	-9	15.3	13.9	1.47	15.2	17.9	-2.63
JJ Redick	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	14.4	15.6	-1.21	16.9	14.9	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.4,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.05,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	92.2%
ORL 85, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.05,0,0	92.2%
GSW 100, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.1%