NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	7.4 [325]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +13.1%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	2.0 [297]		LVP	Bryant Stith (BOS): -20.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	9	77%	0.18	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	12	56%	0.16	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	59%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	20	48%	0.01	3	-0.10	12	92%	0.04
Mookie Blaylock	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	10	41%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	9	81%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	23	61%	0.08	1	-0.05	13	69%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	23%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	21	39%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	5	17%	-0.10	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.5	32.2	14.8	26.1	2.4	26.3	124.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.6%

GSW +6.7%

GSW +11.5%

BOS -2.1%

BOS -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	15.5	103.1	92.6	100.9
season	15.0	15.1		95.3	99.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		101.8	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.7	12.8	13.4	17.3	13.9
BOS	15.0	18.0	15.5	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	83	81	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-4	20	14.6	9.8	4.79	15.5	19.7	-4.20
Antawn Jamison	93	91	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-3	18	13.6	21.0	-7.42	16.3	12.0	4.32
Bob Sura	63	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-2	16	13.8	14.1	-0.36	17.0	14.6	2.32
Mookie Blaylock	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	13.5	16.9	-3.36	16.2	15.3	0.89
Larry Hughes	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	6	0	14.8	10.5	4.27	15.4	19.4	-4.08
Chris Porter	54	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	8	-4	12.8	15.3	-2.50	16.3	15.9	0.38
Vonteego Cummings	10	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	13	-14	16.9	13.5	3.36	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Adam Keefe	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	15	-18	21.0	13.6	7.42	12.0	16.3	-4.32
Bill Curley	14	14	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	16	-20	9.8	14.6	-4.79	19.7	15.5	4.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-13	14	27.3	15.8	11.56	1.7	14.3	-12.61
Eric Williams	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-13	14	16.9	15.5	1.40	14.5	13.5	1.04
Mark Blount	32	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-14	16	15.1	16.7	-1.57	13.5	14.1	-0.64
Walter McCarty	24	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	18.7	15.3	3.50	11.4	14.8	-3.42
Randy Brown	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-9	6	17.1	15.8	1.25	14.3	13.8	0.49
Paul Pierce	81	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	15.0	22.9	-7.88	14.3	11.6	2.62
Kenny Anderson	72	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	15.8	17.1	-1.25	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Antoine Walker	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	15.3	19.6	-4.30	14.6	11.1	3.45
Vitaly Potapenko	58	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	3	-18	16.8	15.2	1.60	14.3	13.3	1.04
Bryant Stith	66	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.14	-19	7	-26	16.6	15.2	1.39	13.6	14.6	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.07,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	92.9%
LAC 112, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
ORL 89, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.4,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.9%