NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	8.8 [172]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (PHX): +52.0%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	39.5 [8]		LVP	Jon Leuer (PHX): -19.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.52	0.14	0.40	0.02	12	77%	0.61	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Devin Booker	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	70%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.06,0.01,0.13,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	14	60%	0.20	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	17	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	8	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.05	-0.14	0.01	14	43%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.11	0.01	12	63%	0.22	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	13	65%	0.26	3	-0.16	8	87%	0.04
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,0,0,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	18	39%	-0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.16	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	24.0	14.8	25.0	1.8	39.7	131.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +1.2%

PHX +15.5%

PHX +7.4%

PHX +25.0%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	14.9	102.0	99.0	105.1
season	14.4	14.8		100.9	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.4		105.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	15.4	14.7	14.6	14.5
CHI	14.3	14.0	13.6	13.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	63	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-10	22	15.5	12.9	2.61	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Brandon Knight	78	79	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-9	20	13.5	18.0	-4.48	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Devin Booker	66	69	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-6	14	15.6	12.4	3.21	13.6	14.5	-0.85
Jon Leuer	66	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.59	2	0	2	13.6	16.2	-2.57	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Eric Bledsoe	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.62	-6	8	-14	14.1	15.4	-1.33	13.6	14.6	-1.05
Ronnie Price	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	17.6	14.2	3.40	17.1	13.6	3.52
Markieff Morris	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	17.2	14.1	3.05	16.2	13.6	2.60
TJ Warren	49	50	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.16	4	-2	6	15.6	13.5	2.09	14.1	13.7	0.39
PJ Tucker	41	39	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.02	-12	14	-26	13.4	15.2	-1.82	14.1	13.8	0.32
Alex Len	50	48	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.16	-9	11	-20	13.8	15.2	-1.46	14.1	13.7	0.38

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	50	51	0.33	-0.83	1.17	-0.05	13	-15	28	13.6	14.1	-0.48	14.0	15.0	-1.08
Joakim Noah	43	39	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.34	-1	-1	0	13.9	13.9	0.00	16.1	13.5	2.66
Kirk Hinrich	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.15	-4	2	-6	14.3	13.7	0.65	14.9	14.4	0.50
E'Twaun Moore	31	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.25	-12	10	-22	14.4	13.7	0.73	15.3	14.2	1.10
Nikola Mirotic	58	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.55	11	-13	24	13.8	14.0	-0.17	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Taj Gibson	48	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	12	-26	13.8	13.9	-0.13	14.8	14.2	0.57
Jimmy Butler	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.60	6	-8	14	13.8	14.2	-0.42	14.0	16.0	-1.95
Derrick Rose	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.59	2	-4	6	13.7	14.3	-0.65	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Pau Gasol	55	58	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.79	0	-2	2	14.0	13.7	0.29	13.6	15.7	-2.18
Doug McDermott	46	46	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.49	-11	9	-20	14.0	13.8	0.17	15.4	13.7	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,0	92.0%
DET 79, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.73,0	91.7%
ATL 113, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.9,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	91.2%