NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	8.0 [230]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +26.9%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	17.6 [19]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -32.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.11	0.01	11	81%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
Brandon Rush	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	9	56%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.22,-0.27,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	20	36%	-0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	14	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.04	0.06	17	39%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.3	-0.30	-0.06	-0.25	-0.01	21	40%	-0.26	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.33	-0.33	-0.04	-0.27	0.02	14	51%	-0.21	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	28.1	15.7	28.1	1.8	35.2	136.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +66.8%

HOU -12.4%

HOU -10.6%

IND +5.5%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	17.5	15.5	98.9	96.8	106.4
season	14.1	16.3		106.5	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	13.6	14.4	12.0	13.6
HOU	17.0	18.3	15.6	19.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	59	59	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.64	4	-3	7	13.6	13.7	-0.14	17.6	17.4	0.24
Jarrett Jack	46	48	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-5	11	12.7	14.5	-1.78	17.3	17.8	-0.48
Brandon Rush	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-14	29	13.4	14.2	-0.75	17.6	17.2	0.44
Danny Granger	66	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.59	-3	4	-7	13.7	13.3	0.47	17.4	17.8	-0.42
Jeff Foster	33	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	4	-7	14.2	13.3	0.99	17.1	17.8	-0.72
Marquis Daniels	46	48	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.34	-6	7	-13	13.7	13.5	0.22	18.2	16.8	1.41
Roy Hibbert	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	-7	15	13.0	13.8	-0.88	19.0	17.0	1.99
Troy Murphy	76	75	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	3	-5	13.6	13.7	-0.17	17.3	18.4	-1.16
Stephen Graham	1	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	3	-5	13.0	13.6	-0.62	9.5	17.7	-8.18
Rasho Nesterovic	39	39	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.03	-12	13	-25	14.6	12.8	1.79	17.2	17.8	-0.61

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	70	68	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-1	1	16.7	20.0	-3.37	14.2	11.8	2.40
Aaron Brooks	20	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	4	-9	19.4	17.0	2.41	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Luther Head	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	3	-7	20.1	17.3	2.85	13.6	13.6	0.02
Yao Ming	60	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-14	27	17.9	16.8	1.02	13.2	14.4	-1.18
Shane Battier	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.54	7	-8	15	18.0	16.7	1.31	13.1	14.4	-1.28
Rafer Alston	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.55	4	-5	9	17.0	19.4	-2.41	13.7	13.4	0.30
Brent Barry	35	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	5	-11	17.5	17.5	-0.08	13.7	13.5	0.17
Metta World Peace	85	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	17.0	23.1	-6.15	13.9	10.6	3.27
Carl Landry	56	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	14	-29	18.2	16.5	1.65	13.3	14.1	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.84,0	92.7%
PHX 103, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.58,0	92.0%
UTA 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.73,0	91.8%