NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	7.3 [330]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +37.7%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	35.2 [20]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -38.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.38	0.08	0.29	0.00	13	65%	0.43	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.25	-0.01	0.26	0.01	12	50%	0.29	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.13
Josh Howard	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	19	53%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	12	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	16	49%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.07
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	0.01	18	67%	0.30	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	13	67%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	63%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	43%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.38	-0.38	-0.19	-0.23	-0.04	19	36%	-0.15	6	-0.24	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	28.6	19.4	25.5	4.6	37.4	145.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -23.6%

DAL +43.7%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +26.8%

HOU -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.4	104.2	98.9	105.7
season	16.1	16.2		108.9	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.4	15.7	16.6	13.5	15.0
HOU	12.7	16.4	16.1	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	63	60	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.33	24	-18	42	13.3	18.2	-4.88	15.5	14.6	0.96
Jerry Stackhouse	49	52	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.26	20	-14	34	14.1	15.9	-1.83	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Devin Harris	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	2	2	15.3	14.5	0.80	15.4	14.8	0.60
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	5	-4	15.0	15.0	-0.03	15.2	15.0	0.29
Josh Howard	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	7	-8	15.8	10.9	4.85	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Erick Dampier	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	1	4	12.7	15.6	-2.96	14.7	15.3	-0.66
Brandon Bass	62	63	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.40	6	0	6	15.2	14.5	0.70	15.6	14.4	1.21
DeSagana Diop	33	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.14	-15	21	-36	17.5	13.7	3.86	15.5	15.0	0.47
Trenton Hassell	35	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	20	-34	15.5	14.7	0.80	14.0	15.9	-1.88

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	59	61	0.65	-1.15	1.80	0.12	18	-24	42	15.4	14.8	0.60	16.1	13.1	3.02
Luis Scola	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.3	-0.67	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Dikembe Mutombo	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	18.9	14.8	4.10	12.9	15.2	-2.31
Yao Ming	79	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-13	20	15.3	14.4	0.97	15.8	10.6	5.19
Bonzi Wells	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.25	-17	11	-28	16.5	14.6	1.87	13.7	15.5	-1.77
Rafer Alston	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-13	20	14.4	17.1	-2.75	15.3	14.1	1.18
Tracy McGrady	77	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-10	14	14.6	17.7	-3.07	15.0	14.8	0.17
Luther Head	27	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	10	-26	16.3	14.7	1.61	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Shane Battier	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-9	12	15.0	15.9	-0.96	15.4	13.4	1.99
Mike James	33	33	-1.10	0.60	-1.71	-0.46	-22	16	-38	15.1	15.2	-0.18	13.1	16.0	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,0	92.7%
UTA 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.73,0	92.1%
CLE 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0	91.8%