NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	6.1 [597]		MVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): +63.2%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	83.8 [6]		LVP	Luol Deng (CLE): -15.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.63	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.63	-0.01	0.65	0.01	20	42%	0.63	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	15	55%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	9	95%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	14	24%	-0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	11	82%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	14	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	23	49%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	10	27%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.7	28.6	17.5	24.3	2.5	35.5	136.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.1%

CLE +13.9%

DET -6.8%

CLE +1.6%

CLE +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.1	106.6	106.7	105.2
season	15.2	15.0		102.8	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	15.6	14.3	15.3	14.9
DET	14.9	18.7	14.5	20.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	66	65	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.33	24	-23	47	14.5	15.9	-1.36	18.2	13.7	4.52
Anderson Varejao	56	56	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.27	25	-24	49	14.7	15.2	-0.46	18.4	14.6	3.79
Dion Waiters	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	-2	5	16.1	11.0	5.13	17.2	15.9	1.28
Luol Deng	64	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	15.0	14.5	0.53	16.5	18.0	-1.54
Jarrett Jack	58	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.69	-12	13	-25	13.7	16.9	-3.17	16.1	18.4	-2.36
Alonzo Gee	31	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	-3	7	14.6	15.0	-0.42	18.2	16.3	1.86
Tyler Zeller	20	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	15.9	14.6	1.29	14.1	17.7	-3.61
Tristan Thompson	41	41	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	17	-33	15.4	14.5	0.87	16.5	17.3	-0.84
Spencer Hawes	50	49	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.06	-18	19	-37	14.4	15.5	-1.13	15.5	18.7	-3.15

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	47	50	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.18	-3	2	-5	17.9	15.9	2.03	14.8	15.0	-0.29
Greg Monroe	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.70	21	-22	43	15.2	19.5	-4.26	15.2	14.5	0.73
Jonas Jerebko	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.22	-13	12	-25	18.0	16.3	1.68	14.6	15.1	-0.43
Will Bynum	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	6	-13	20.6	16.4	4.21	15.0	14.9	0.13
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	7	-15	17.7	16.7	1.04	15.7	14.6	1.17
Brandon Jennings	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.50	6	-7	13	16.4	20.6	-4.21	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Josh Smith	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.53	6	-7	13	16.5	22.7	-6.13	14.9	14.3	0.65
Kyle Singler	57	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.62	2	-3	5	16.5	17.7	-1.24	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Rodney Stuckey	59	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.50	-9	8	-17	17.8	15.3	2.57	14.9	14.9	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.84,0	91.8%
BOS 101, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0	91.3%
IND 91, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,0	91.2%