NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	5.7 [698]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): +12.4%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.0 [1138]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): -13.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jabari Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.11	15	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	14	66%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.05	0.03	14	62%	0.17	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	52%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	18	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	10	30%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	0.8	26.2	16.4	28.6	2.4	42.6	139.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.2%

DET +7.3%

DET +1.4%

DET +15.0%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.9	95.0	104.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		102.8	104.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	16.6	14.1	12.5	14.4
DET	14.5	14.7	15.3	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad Vaughn	23	22	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Johnny O'Bryant	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-8	9	16.3	14.1	2.23	16.9	14.2	2.73
John Henson	28	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	15.2	14.1	1.08	17.1	13.7	3.39
Jabari Parker	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-10	13	13.4	15.2	-1.78	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Michael Carter-Williams	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-6	5	13.9	15.1	-1.16	15.2	14.0	1.14
Jerryd Bayless	53	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	5	-17	16.0	12.7	3.24	15.1	14.1	0.99
Khris Middleton	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	13.7	16.5	-2.80	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Greg Monroe	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-6	5	14.3	14.9	-0.59	13.8	16.7	-2.89
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	4	-15	14.9	13.4	1.45	14.6	14.7	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	4	-15	14.3	14.7	-0.39	14.6	14.8	-0.19

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	80	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-6	19	14.8	14.0	0.80	14.8	12.6	2.23
Ersan Ilyasova	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-3	13	13.2	16.4	-3.19	13.9	15.1	-1.12
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	70	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	13.9	16.6	-2.79	13.7	16.5	-2.80
Andre Drummond	75	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	9	-11	14.5	15.0	-0.51	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Reggie Jackson	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	7	-7	14.6	14.7	-0.10	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Steve Blake	29	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	0	7	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.2	14.1	1.14
Aron Baynes	23	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-2	11	15.0	14.5	0.51	15.6	14.0	1.59
Stanley Johnson	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	9	-11	15.6	13.8	1.80	14.9	14.0	0.90
Anthony Tolliver	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	10	-13	16.4	13.2	3.19	15.1	13.9	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 86, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.3%
PHI 89, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.6,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	94.1%