NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	5.8 [623]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +25.6%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	1.2 [1217]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -14.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.02	11	73%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	17	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	18	48%	-0.01	4	-0.13	8	75%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.00	8	100%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.02	14	65%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	73%	0.15	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	28.1	15.5	26.4	2.6	34.3	135.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +57.3%

PHI -2.8%

PHI -1.8%

PHI -6.8%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	18.6	15.3	100.0	112.8	106.0
season	15.1	15.9		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	14.9	14.4	13.9	14.4
SAS	18.3	18.7	17.9	19.5	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	32	33	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.08	10	-18	28	14.9	14.1	0.81	19.4	18.1	1.34
Samuel Dalembert	64	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-12	16	14.2	14.8	-0.59	19.1	17.3	1.75
Primoz Brezec	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-5	2	14.1	14.5	-0.37	15.7	19.0	-3.37
Jason Smith	14	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	15.4	14.2	1.20	18.6	18.6	0.05
Royal Ivey	13	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	2	-12	17.1	14.0	3.12	16.7	18.8	-2.11
Thaddeus Young	79	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-7	6	14.1	17.2	-3.14	18.3	20.5	-2.16
Willie Green	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.0	16.1	-2.08	18.7	17.9	0.78
Rodney Carney	35	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	15.3	13.9	1.43	18.2	18.8	-0.65
Jason Kapono	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.27	-3	-5	2	13.3	15.7	-2.37	19.4	17.5	1.89
Andre Iguodala	80	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	7	-22	14.8	11.1	3.68	18.3	20.7	-2.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	49	50	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-3	14	17.9	19.4	-1.51	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Tony Parker	66	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	4	0	18.4	19.0	-0.63	13.9	16.2	-2.28
DeJuan Blair	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	1	6	17.3	19.3	-1.95	15.2	14.0	1.24
Matt Bonner	36	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	2	4	18.0	19.0	-0.93	13.5	15.3	-1.78
Tim Duncan	55	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	7	-6	19.3	17.3	1.95	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Keith Bogans	41	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	19.0	18.1	0.92	14.1	14.7	-0.58
George Hill	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	8	-8	19.0	18.2	0.85	14.9	14.0	0.97
Malik Hairston	5	6	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	2	4	17.2	18.7	-1.45	13.3	14.5	-1.16
Manu Ginobili	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	6	-4	18.1	18.8	-0.71	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Antonio McDyess	21	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	4	0	18.5	18.6	-0.06	18.0	13.4	4.62
Richard Jefferson	54	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	12	-16	19.4	17.2	2.25	14.7	13.9	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.6,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.98,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.1%
MIL 95, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.1%
IND 96, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.8%