NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	5.8 [646]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +7.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.2 [1029]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -20.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Longley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	47%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	23	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	19	35%	-0.12	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	56%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	64%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	11	65%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	5	90%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.02	-0.04	23	49%	0.06	6	-0.14	9	56%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	27.9	16.0	21.7	2.0	33.2	129.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.2%

LAL +7.8%

LAL +5.8%

PHX -17.1%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.2	91.6	108.4	101.7
season	14.8	15.3		101.4	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.3		98.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	15.0	17.8	15.8	15.5
LAL	13.5	13.8	16.5	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	46	48	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-26	36	15.8	15.3	0.50	14.0	15.5	-1.43
Toby Bailey	21	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	-11	6	15.4	15.6	-0.15	13.0	15.3	-2.36
Todd Day	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-12	8	14.6	16.5	-1.82	13.6	15.9	-2.27
Mark West	3	2	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-10	4	12.3	15.7	-3.32	12.0	14.8	-2.81
Ben Davis	3	2	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-10	4	12.3	15.7	-3.32	12.0	14.8	-2.81
Randy Livingston	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-10	4	16.5	15.4	1.09	12.1	15.2	-3.14
Jason Kidd	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-6	-4	15.4	16.5	-1.09	15.2	12.1	3.14
Rex Chapman	70	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-7	-2	15.7	15.2	0.53	15.5	12.8	2.70
Clifford Robinson	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-4	-8	15.3	17.1	-1.80	15.1	13.0	2.08
Oliver Miller	35	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	2	-20	16.5	15.0	1.53	15.8	14.1	1.67
Rodney Rogers	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	16.0	14.0	1.99	15.1	13.6	1.51

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	2	12	14.8	14.2	0.60	15.2	18.1	-2.90
Shaquille O'Neal	89	88	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	11	-6	14.7	16.0	-1.34	15.8	12.7	3.06
Glen Rice	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	2	12	14.9	14.5	0.34	15.7	15.3	0.44
Robert Horry	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	3	10	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.2	15.9	-0.73
A.C. Green	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	2	12	15.2	14.1	1.11	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Derek Fisher	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	10	-4	12.9	15.6	-2.74	16.5	15.1	1.44
Ron Harper	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	7	2	15.5	12.5	3.02	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Rick Fox	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	10	-4	15.0	14.5	0.51	14.9	16.1	-1.15
Brian Shaw	7	7	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	13	-10	14.0	14.8	-0.81	17.9	15.4	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.98,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 106, BKN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 105, MEM 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 100, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%