NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	5.0 [829]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +22.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	118		Comeback	1.1 [1080]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -9.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.29	0.01	0.07	14	97%	0.26	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	-0.00	0.05	16	68%	0.15	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.04
Blake Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	16	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.00	7	74%	0.21	1	-0.03	17	71%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	9	66%	0.12	0	0.00	11	82%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	12	72%	0.15	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.15	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	12	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.0	3.6	35.1	17.7	33.8	3.5	38.5	167.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +18.8%

MEM +17.0%

LAC -3.0%

MEM +8.1%

MEM +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.4	112.9	129.7	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		109.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	15.8	14.2	14.0	14.8
MEM	15.3	16.2	16.5	18.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	28	26	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-18	23	14.9	14.8	0.16	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-12	11	14.7	14.9	-0.19	17.3	16.3	0.96
Willie Green	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-12	11	14.0	15.2	-1.16	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Matt Barnes	70	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-17	21	14.4	16.0	-1.63	17.2	14.3	2.89
Grant Hill	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-13	13	14.8	14.8	-0.05	17.5	15.8	1.65
Jamal Crawford	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-8	3	15.1	14.7	0.41	15.5	16.9	-1.37
DeAndre Jordan	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.7	14.3	1.32	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Chauncey Billups	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.30	16.7	16.4	0.27
Chris Paul	79	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	15.1	13.0	2.14	16.7	15.6	1.02
Caron Butler	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.00	-16	3	-19	14.8	14.9	-0.07	16.6	16.3	0.27
Lamar Odom	47	46	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.03	-22	9	-31	14.8	14.8	-0.02	15.3	17.8	-2.47

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	61	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.07	22	-9	31	15.8	17.9	-2.13	15.4	13.6	1.75
Tayshaun Prince	78	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-2	17	16.2	18.3	-2.10	14.9	14.3	0.59
Tony Allen	61	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	1	11	15.5	18.6	-3.12	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Zach Randolph	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-3	19	15.6	19.0	-3.44	15.0	14.3	0.65
Marc Gasol	74	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	5	3	16.9	14.7	2.21	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Quincy Pondexter	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	14	-15	16.7	16.4	0.38	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Jerryd Bayless	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	14	-15	17.8	15.3	2.45	13.7	15.8	-2.15
Keyon Dooling	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	17	-21	19.6	15.7	3.95	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Darrell Arthur	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	15	-17	19.0	16.0	2.99	18.2	14.2	4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 92, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	94.8%
CHI 81, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%