NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	5.0 [833]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +19.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	1.4 [925]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -15.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.02	0.03	15	71%	0.20	0	0.00	11	100%	0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.01	7	94%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	12	63%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	32%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	26.4	14.8	27.2	2.3	26.4	127.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +5.1%

MIN +16.3%

MIN +4.9%

MIN +23.5%

MIN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.4	104.2	117.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.6		101.2	101.3
opponent	14.9	16.2		103.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	15.7	14.7	14.0	14.5
MIN	14.6	15.6	15.3	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	44	42	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-17	24	13.5	15.4	-1.91	17.3	14.6	2.70
DJ White	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-13	16	10.6	14.8	-4.23	21.3	15.4	5.88
Chris Wilcox	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-6	2	14.6	14.5	0.10	15.1	16.1	-0.96
Jason Terry	51	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-10	10	14.1	14.9	-0.75	16.6	15.0	1.62
Jordan Crawford	56	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-11	12	14.2	14.8	-0.62	16.9	14.5	2.38
Shavlik Randolph	43	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-9	8	14.3	14.6	-0.30	16.4	15.4	1.06
Jeff Green	75	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.9	13.1	1.72	16.2	14.6	1.58
Brandon Bass	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	5	-20	14.9	13.5	1.35	14.6	19.0	-4.48
Courtney Lee	52	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	5	-20	14.9	14.0	0.90	14.5	17.4	-2.95
Avery Bradley	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.01	-17	7	-24	15.0	13.5	1.53	14.7	17.9	-3.23

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	51	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-10	30	13.8	18.3	-4.49	15.1	13.7	1.35
Ricky Rubio	67	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	15.7	16.1	-0.38	14.5	14.4	0.17
Jose Juan Barea	58	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	6	-2	16.4	15.0	1.36	14.3	14.8	-0.55
Luke Ridnour	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	3	4	14.5	16.9	-2.38	14.8	14.3	0.55
Andrei Kirilenko	53	55	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	15.3	16.6	-1.28	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Chase Budinger	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	3	4	15.3	16.1	-0.78	15.3	14.1	1.24
Nikola Pekovic	80	81	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	12	-14	16.3	12.9	3.42	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Alexey Shved	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	8	-6	16.7	15.1	1.62	14.8	14.2	0.63
Dante Cunningham	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	12	-14	18.2	13.7	4.49	13.7	15.2	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	94.8%
VAN 81, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	94.6%
NJN 88, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%