NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	5.7 [719]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +17.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.0 [1219]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -21.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	55%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	63%	0.09	5	-0.14	3	33%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.21,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	0.00	27	39%	-0.16	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	12	79%	0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	19	69%	0.21	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	11	23%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	26.4	16.4	24.5	2.5	30.9	127.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +35.7%

MEM +7.4%

PHI -4.2%

MEM +7.9%

MEM +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	16.9	15.5	92.5	101.1	104.0
season	13.9	16.4		101.1	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	15.7	13.5	12.2	14.1
MEM	16.5	15.6	17.2	18.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	17	15	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-14	20	15.1	13.8	1.23	15.4	17.2	-1.81
John Salmons	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-10	12	14.1	14.0	0.08	16.7	17.1	-0.43
Brian Skinner	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	14.7	14.0	0.70	14.8	17.2	-2.39
Marc Jackson	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-8	8	13.5	14.8	-1.30	17.9	15.4	2.49
Samuel Dalembert	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-6	4	14.1	14.0	0.01	16.2	17.3	-1.11
Josh Davis	20	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	1	-10	14.3	14.0	0.38	14.7	17.6	-2.90
Kenny Thomas	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-7	6	14.3	13.5	0.79	17.5	15.5	2.03
Willie Green	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	15.0	13.7	1.29	16.5	17.1	-0.57
Kyle Korver	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-4	0	13.5	15.4	-1.86	17.9	14.3	3.67
Andre Iguodala	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	4	-16	14.2	13.9	0.31	16.8	17.1	-0.32
Allen Iverson	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	0	-8	13.9	14.9	-1.07	16.7	18.1	-1.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-7	22	16.8	17.2	-0.43	14.0	14.2	-0.17
Lorenzen Wright	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-4	16	16.8	17.4	-0.62	14.3	13.3	0.93
Shane Battier	60	58	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.17	12	-4	16	17.3	16.2	1.18	13.9	14.3	-0.46
Pau Gasol	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	1	6	17.1	16.1	1.02	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Mike Miller	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	17.0	16.7	0.27	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Bonzi Wells	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	3	2	16.7	17.0	-0.27	14.5	13.8	0.74
Stromile Swift	39	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	11	-14	16.8	17.0	-0.25	14.0	14.1	-0.14
James Posey	33	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	12	-16	16.2	17.3	-1.18	14.3	13.9	0.46
Earl Watson	29	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	15	-22	17.2	16.8	0.43	14.2	14.0	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.6%
MIL 95, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.3%
SAS 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%