NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	82		Excitement	7.5 [355]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +13.9%
Charlotte Hornets	87		Comeback	2.5 [781]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (MIL): -13.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.01	15	49%	0.15	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
John Henson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Khris Middleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	18	51%	0.06	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	14	37%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	10	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	13	69%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	10	57%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,0	0.00	-0.16	0.15	-0.01	13	48%	0.24	9	-0.24	5	80%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	26.2	15.6	23.4	2.4	29.5	125.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +32.3%

CHA +9.6%

MIL -6.8%

CHA +8.9%

CHA +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	14.9	93.2	97.8	105.1
season	14.8	15.1		102.8	105.5
opponent	14.8	15.3		103.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.1	18.9	14.3	13.7	14.9
CHA	16.9	16.2	18.5	19.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ennis	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-3	1	16.8	14.7	2.09	13.3	18.0	-4.73
Giannis Antetokounmpo	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-12	19	14.7	15.1	-0.42	19.4	14.9	4.54
Greg Monroe	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	14.1	16.3	-2.24	17.9	17.2	0.76
Khris Middleton	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-12	19	14.7	15.5	-0.84	18.3	15.6	2.65
John Henson	32	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	5	-15	16.3	14.1	2.24	17.2	17.9	-0.76
Jabari Parker	34	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	7	-19	15.1	14.7	0.42	14.9	19.4	-4.54
Michael Carter-Williams	32	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	10	-25	14.7	15.0	-0.36	15.7	18.7	-3.05
O.J. Mayo	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.0	13.7	1.27	18.0	13.9	4.14
Jerryd Bayless	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	14.9	14.8	0.10	17.9	15.6	2.30

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	53	49	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.21	21	-16	37	16.8	18.9	-2.19	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Frank Kaminsky	35	34	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-14	33	15.1	19.3	-4.26	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Jeremy Lin	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-5	15	16.3	18.8	-2.50	16.4	13.5	2.95
Marvin Williams	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	5	-5	18.2	16.0	2.24	15.5	13.2	2.27
Cody Zeller	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	-1	7	16.9	18.0	-1.10	15.6	14.5	1.04
Tyler Hansbrough	17	17	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	2	1	19.0	17.3	1.68	12.2	15.5	-3.29
Nicolas Batum	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.41	-8	13	-21	18.8	15.1	3.71	15.1	14.6	0.50
Spencer Hawes	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	16.3	18.3	-2.02	17.4	13.6	3.82
Kemba Walker	72	73	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	14	-23	18.4	14.5	3.85	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Al Jefferson	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	13	-21	20.6	17.1	3.48	11.1	15.5	-4.47
PJ Hairston	28	29	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	18	-31	18.7	17.1	1.57	13.3	15.7	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,1	91.6%
MIN 91, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.9,1	90.9%
ATL 92, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.58,1	90.5%