NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	9.6 [92]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +26.1%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	2.6 [573]		LVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): -39.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.26	0.09	0.17	-0.00	11	57%	0.26	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	19	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	16	63%	0.14	4	-0.18	6	100%	0.04
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,-0.05	0.07	-0.11	0.01	14	62%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.08
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.4	-0.08	-0.32	0.00	5	0%	-0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	55%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.10	-0.05	20	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.18
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.01	10	61%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	15	56%	0.01	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	10	18%	-0.13	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	27.1	15.4	25.3	2.4	33.0	130.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.5%

ATL -26.9%

WAS +47.1%

WAS +4.1%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.4	100.0	103.3	104.5
season	16.1	14.8		101.1	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		108.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	15.2	14.4	20.4	16.2
WAS	13.0	16.1	15.6	17.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	40	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-5	9	14.3	17.7	-3.35	14.2	16.4	-2.20
Lorenzen Wright	20	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	13.9	16.8	-2.87	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Zaza Pachulia	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-1	1	15.5	16.9	-1.38	14.2	16.6	-2.32
Anthony Johnson	14	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	4	-9	16.9	16.1	0.78	13.7	15.7	-2.05
Shelden Williams	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	6	-13	15.8	16.2	-0.46	18.6	15.1	3.46
Marvin Williams	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-9	17	16.3	15.8	0.51	14.9	17.8	-2.93
Josh Childress	56	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-3	5	17.2	14.7	2.51	16.4	14.1	2.22
Joe Johnson	82	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-3	5	16.0	17.6	-1.58	15.5	15.1	0.39
Josh Smith	84	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.50	-2	1	-3	16.2	15.6	0.63	15.7	12.5	3.23
Tyronn Lue	38	39	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	6	-13	18.7	14.5	4.19	17.3	14.0	3.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	49	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.55	0	1	-1	13.4	17.8	-4.38	14.9	17.8	-2.81
Gilbert Arenas	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.51	-2	3	-5	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.9	17.5	-1.61
Antonio Daniels	36	36	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-12	25	17.8	13.9	3.98	18.4	14.8	3.65
Antawn Jamison	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.57	-4	5	-9	15.3	16.0	-0.68	15.9	17.3	-1.35
Caron Butler	61	62	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	4	-7	15.0	16.3	-1.33	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Darius Songaila	11	11	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	-8	17	17.9	15.1	2.81	16.7	16.1	0.60
Calvin Booth	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	-4	9	18.6	15.0	3.62	16.4	16.2	0.25
DeShawn Stevenson	61	63	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.36	-9	10	-19	13.9	18.6	-4.69	15.2	18.3	-3.14
Etan Thomas	17	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	14.8	15.6	-0.84	16.6	16.1	0.52
Roger Mason Jr.	11	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	1	-1	15.5	15.4	0.01	16.7	16.1	0.64
Andray Blatche	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	16.6	15.2	1.39	17.1	16.0	1.08
Jarvis Hayes	29	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	5	-9	17.5	14.5	3.06	18.3	15.2	3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.93,0.84,0.96,0.59,1	92.1%
PHX 107, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.74,1	91.6%
LAC 98, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.72,1	91.5%