NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	9.1 [134]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +23.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	1.7 [1188]		LVP	TJ Warren (PHX): -29.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.19	0.04	-0.01	19	72%	0.33	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
Alex Len	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Tyler Ulis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	70%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.06
Troy Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3	-0.09	-0.20	0.01	15	40%	-0.22	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.01	5	108%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	0.02	21	49%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	20	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	11	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	15	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	59%	0.09	5	-0.20	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	29.3	14.5	27.5	2.4	29.5	128.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.3%

PHX -12.3%

POR +20.7%

POR +7.9%

PHX -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	13.8	14.7	102.9	108.6	107.5
season	14.2	15.2		102.6	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		105.7	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	12.2	13.7	14.0	13.8
POR	15.2	13.0	12.5	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	59	59	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-9	11	13.9	13.6	0.39	13.8	13.8	0.04
Josh Jackson	50	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	14.0	13.5	0.50	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Tyler Ulis	47	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-6	5	14.1	13.5	0.52	14.1	13.6	0.50
Devin Booker	73	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-12	17	13.5	14.4	-0.82	14.2	12.8	1.33
Tyson Chandler	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-9	11	13.7	13.9	-0.16	13.6	14.0	-0.35
Alex Len	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	4	-15	14.0	13.6	0.45	14.0	13.6	0.33
Mike James	56	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	13.7	13.8	-0.06	13.8	13.8	0.03
Troy Daniels	32	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	6	-19	14.0	13.7	0.27	12.5	14.4	-1.89
TJ Warren	56	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	13.4	14.2	-0.80	13.8	13.8	0.04
Marquese Chriss	45	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	13.6	13.9	-0.39	13.8	13.8	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	78	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	1	5	12.9	16.3	-3.44	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Maurice Harkless	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	7	-7	13.6	14.4	-0.85	13.8	13.8	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	13.7	14.0	-0.28	13.7	13.9	-0.12
Jusuf Nurkic	64	60	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	13.8	13.8	-0.04	13.2	14.5	-1.29
Damian Lillard	77	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	14.3	12.4	1.89	13.7	13.9	-0.12
Ed Davis	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	0	7	13.7	13.8	-0.05	14.6	13.2	1.37
Evan Turner	51	51	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	4	-1	14.4	13.2	1.15	13.8	13.7	0.13
Zach Collins	16	17	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	4	-1	13.4	13.9	-0.48	13.4	13.9	-0.44
Pat Connaughton	56	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	2	3	14.4	13.1	1.23	14.1	13.4	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	92.4%
NYK 96, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	91.9%
NYK 77, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.93,0.91,1	91.9%