inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 81 Excitement4.3 [977] MVPDeron Williams (DAL): +15.8%
Dallas Mavericks 92 Comeback1.9 [966] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -12.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.02577%0.063-0.02367%-0.01
Mike Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.03-0.001362%0.093-0.1000%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.00380%0.073-0.09475%0.00
Will Barton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.011350%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03425%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.021246%-0.003-0.062100%0.01
Randy Foye-0.110,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.030.00928%-0.091-0.0100%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.011535%-0.072-0.05450%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.02-0.031565%0.181-0.024100%0.02
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.00-0.031052%0.081-0.02333%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.01959%0.0500.004100%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02650%0.041-0.0200%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.051132%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.040100%0.002-0.001100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00864%0.095-0.10967%-0.00
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0320%-0.041-0.0120%-0.03
Chandler Parsons0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.02729%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.631.414.829.42.428.6131.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +32.7%
DAL +4.9%
DEN -15.1%
DAL +27.0%
DAL +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game15.715.614.988.0100.0105.1
season14.915.5104.3105.0
opponent14.714.9106.5107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.014.518.914.415.7
DAL15.015.513.019.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kostas Papanikolaou450.00-0.500.50-0.186-17237.216.1-8.8121.015.35.68
Kenneth Faried2625-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-151915.715.70.0317.914.83.09
Jameer Nelson3331-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-6115.315.9-0.6316.315.31.04
Mike Miller2525-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-9713.716.4-2.7418.014.83.20
Nikola Jokic3636-0.16-0.340.180.04-7-4-316.015.40.5815.315.8-0.53
Joffrey Lauvergne1718-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-4-316.315.50.7612.216.5-4.31
Darrell Arthur6261-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-1-915.815.50.2614.817.4-2.60
Emmanuel Mudiay6667-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.16-6-5-116.314.12.2314.917.6-2.76
Will Barton5657-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-6-5-115.116.6-1.5916.913.63.23
Randy Foye6969-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-6-5-115.915.10.7816.014.51.48
Danilo Gallinari6666-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-165-2116.413.82.5514.418.7-4.32

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia58600.480.020.46-0.1120-92914.317.9-3.6716.713.73.05
Raymond Felton51530.440.060.380.0015-41915.715.50.2116.614.52.10
Deron Williams60610.430.070.35-0.1319-82714.517.8-3.3016.114.91.21
Wesley Matthews56560.360.140.210.0012-11314.317.7-3.3516.015.10.92
Dwight Powell40410.310.190.130.31011-1115.515.7-0.2314.716.5-1.79
Dirk Nowitzki57570.210.29-0.08-0.2014-31715.815.30.5116.714.02.70
Chandler Parsons47440.190.31-0.120.0265114.317.0-2.6815.815.60.19
Devin Harris35370.110.39-0.28-0.0356-117.814.33.5015.615.7-0.13
Charlie Villanueva15130.070.43-0.370.12-213-1517.815.22.5910.616.5-5.89
John Jenkins540.000.50-0.500.18-617-2321.015.35.687.216.1-8.81
Justin Anderson1717-0.030.53-0.550.38-1425-3919.714.75.0014.116.0-1.91
Jeremy Evans97-0.030.53-0.560.32-1223-3519.115.33.8610.016.1-6.14
JaVale McGee1010-0.040.54-0.570.02-213-1519.215.24.0014.715.8-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 114, POR 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
ATL 74, DEN 970.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
NYK 84, CHA 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%