NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	7.9 [273]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +15.7%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	2.3 [908]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -19.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	11	71%	0.28	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	45%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0	0.10	-0.07	0.03	21	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	0.01	-0.08	-0.03	17	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.05
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	13	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Ian Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	20	59%	0.12	6	-0.18	6	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	3.5	28.0	16.7	29.5	2.6	34.2	136.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +50.9%

CHI -7.5%

GSW +7.7%

CHI -3.0%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	13.6	14.9	98.9	110.4	105.1
season	14.8	13.7		103.7	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.9		102.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	18.6	16.6	15.9	16.5
GSW	13.5	15.7	11.6	14.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	73	74	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-17	22	15.9	18.5	-2.51	13.5	14.0	-0.52
E'Twaun Moore	47	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-4	-4	17.2	15.8	1.40	13.8	13.5	0.22
Kirk Hinrich	67	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-12	12	16.0	17.8	-1.84	14.0	12.6	1.36
Doug McDermott	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	1	-14	16.8	16.3	0.48	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Pau Gasol	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-12	12	15.5	17.8	-2.21	14.4	12.6	1.77
Taj Gibson	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	2	-16	17.5	16.1	1.37	13.4	13.8	-0.36
Tony Snell	58	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-9	6	16.4	16.7	-0.29	14.5	12.5	2.01
Joakim Noah	34	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	3	-18	18.5	15.4	3.03	12.9	14.0	-1.17
Jimmy Butler	78	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	0	-12	16.5	16.6	-0.08	12.9	17.5	-4.62

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	53	55	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-12	36	13.8	13.5	0.24	17.5	15.2	2.33
Klay Thompson	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	4	4	12.8	16.7	-3.86	16.4	16.9	-0.49
Stephen Curry	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	1	10	13.2	15.2	-2.05	16.3	17.3	-0.97
Festus Ezeli	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-3	18	14.0	13.4	0.58	17.7	15.5	2.25
Harrison Barnes	66	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	6	0	13.7	13.6	0.07	16.0	17.5	-1.47
Draymond Green	74	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	3	6	13.1	15.5	-2.46	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Shaun Livingston	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.04	5	7	-2	14.9	13.3	1.64	17.3	16.3	1.03
Ian Clark	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	12	-12	15.2	13.6	1.64	16.0	16.6	-0.56
James Michael McAdoo	12	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	13	-14	14.4	13.5	0.88	17.4	16.4	0.99
Leandro Barbosa	15	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	12	-12	17.7	12.9	4.77	17.1	16.4	0.72
Andrew Bogut	38	38	-0.30	0.81	-1.11	0.19	-17	29	-46	13.9	13.4	0.50	15.1	17.5	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.97,1	92.3%
IND 93, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.86,0.72,0.98,0.98,1	92.2%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	92.1%