NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	8.1 [211]		MVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): +26.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	1.8 [445]		LVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): -22.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
David Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Travis Diener	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	18	41%	-0.00	2	-0.05	15	80%	0.03
Troy Murphy	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	6	43%	-0.04	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.22,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.01	20	67%	0.44	7	-0.17	12	67%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	12	36%	-0.09	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.9	15.3	24.5	2.5	39.2	139.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +60.8%

IND -14.7%

SEA +14.7%

IND -14.9%

SEA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	14.4	12.9	15.4	88.6	89.6	105.7
season	13.8	14.5		104.5	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	14.4	17.7	10.9	14.4
SEA	12.3	10.9	15.0	13.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	35	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	14.1	14.5	-0.46	13.6	12.6	1.04
David Harrison	40	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-12	22	13.6	14.8	-1.20	14.2	12.1	2.17
Mike Dunleavy	77	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.41	12	-14	26	14.0	15.5	-1.51	12.9	12.9	-0.03
Kareem Rush	16	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	6	-14	15.7	14.1	1.60	11.9	13.1	-1.18
Jamaal Tinsley	86	85	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-13	24	13.9	16.7	-2.86	13.0	12.8	0.19
Andre Owens	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	2	-6	17.4	14.2	3.26	18.7	12.5	6.21
Travis Diener	12	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	7	-16	16.3	14.1	2.19	9.8	13.4	-3.61
Jeff Foster	50	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-1	0	15.1	13.7	1.39	11.7	14.0	-2.29
Jermaine O'Neal	58	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	9	-20	15.6	12.9	2.79	12.8	13.0	-0.16
Danny Granger	91	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.54	0	-2	2	14.1	16.4	-2.27	13.0	12.7	0.29
Troy Murphy	53	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	8	-18	13.8	15.0	-1.21	12.9	12.9	0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	88	88	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-11	24	12.7	14.0	-1.31	14.5	13.8	0.75
Earl Watson	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	12.9	13.0	-0.07	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Kurt Thomas	66	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	1	0	12.5	13.7	-1.22	14.6	14.0	0.60
Chris Wilcox	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	-2	6	13.4	11.9	1.47	14.6	14.0	0.58
Wally Szczerbiak	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-4	10	13.0	12.8	0.22	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Johan Petro	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	-3	8	13.9	12.5	1.35	14.3	14.4	-0.19
Damien Wilkins	73	72	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.39	-10	12	-22	12.9	13.0	-0.17	14.2	14.9	-0.76
Delonte West	46	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	5	-8	13.0	12.9	0.07	15.4	13.6	1.84
Mouhamed Sene	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	15.0	12.9	2.10	24.0	14.3	9.70
Jeff Green	51	50	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	11	-20	12.5	13.3	-0.71	14.1	14.7	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.86,0.72,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	92.6%
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.5%
TOR 92, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.43,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.98,1	92.5%