NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	7.8 [286]		MVP	Shabazz Muhammad (MIN): +20.6%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	5.9 [72]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -18.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	8	89%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.02	21	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	12	57%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	32%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Gorgui Dieng	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	7	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	14	65%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	6	23%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	12	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	14	59%	0.12	4	-0.15	9	22%	-0.20
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	52%	0.01	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	2	57%	0.02	6	-0.18	10	50%	-0.09
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	13	38%	-0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.4	15.4	27.4	1.8	38.0	140.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -26.3%

MIN +26.9%

MIN +5.9%

MIN +44.5%

MIA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIA	NBA	MIN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.2	13.6	14.9	99.0	88.3	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		104.8	104.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	14.2	13.8	15.0	14.2
MIA	14.0	14.0	13.8	12.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	63	61	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.13	23	-11	34	14.2	14.1	0.14	13.3	14.2	-0.93
Karl-Anthony Towns	56	57	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-2	16	14.0	14.4	-0.36	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Kevin Garnett	34	33	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-3	18	13.4	14.5	-1.10	13.3	13.8	-0.45
Andrew Wiggins	73	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	11	-10	14.3	13.9	0.40	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Shabazz Muhammad	42	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	0	12	14.6	13.9	0.77	14.2	13.2	0.97
Adreian Payne	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	7	-2	15.2	13.7	1.49	14.8	13.0	1.80
Tayshaun Prince	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	10	-8	12.7	14.7	-1.95	15.6	12.9	2.65
Ricky Rubio	57	58	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	13	-14	14.2	14.2	-0.02	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Kevin Martin	50	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	13	-14	14.3	14.0	0.30	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Gorgui Dieng	48	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.12	-2	14	-16	14.4	14.0	0.36	13.7	13.6	0.10
Nemanja Bjelica	35	35	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.10	-8	20	-28	13.9	14.3	-0.40	12.7	14.1	-1.36

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	72	73	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-23	34	13.1	15.0	-1.94	14.6	13.2	1.41
Hassan Whiteside	71	72	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.22	10	-22	32	13.8	13.4	0.39	14.9	12.6	2.34
Goran Dragic	78	78	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-16	20	13.3	14.7	-1.37	14.6	13.0	1.63
Tyler Johnson	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-4	-4	13.7	13.6	0.18	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Justise Winslow	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-6	0	13.2	14.6	-1.37	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Dwyane Wade	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-10	8	13.7	13.5	0.25	14.3	14.0	0.32
Gerald Green	24	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	3	-18	14.3	13.4	0.85	13.5	14.4	-0.87
Josh McRoberts	25	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	6	-24	14.7	13.3	1.37	13.2	14.5	-1.35
Chris Bosh	67	67	-1.17	0.67	-1.85	-0.12	-36	24	-60	14.2	12.6	1.67	13.7	15.1	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.2%
DAL 105, VAN 98	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.04,0	90.9%
SAS 94, CLE 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.01,0	90.9%