NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	6.6 [477]		MVP	Derek Harper (DAL): +33.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	98		Comeback	9.0 [81]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -18.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.10	0.22	-0.01	14	76%	0.39	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
George McCloud	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	16	60%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	17	66%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.17	5	-0.16	6	83%	-0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	12	38%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	5	108%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	16	69%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.08
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	58%	0.10	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Pete Chilcutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	12	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	10	40%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	20	45%	-0.17	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	26.0	14.8	23.0	1.8	34.0	126.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.3%

DAL +2.2%

VAN -1.5%

VAN -1.9%

VAN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	VAN	NBA	DAL	VAN	NBA
this game	18.0	16.6	15.6	128.0	116.7	104.4
season	15.9	16.3		99.1	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.1	14.9	19.4	18.9	18.0
VAN	14.2	17.8	17.6	17.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	52	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-11	29	17.3	19.3	-1.98	16.2	17.4	-1.25
Derek Harper	71	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.43	5	2	3	18.4	15.3	3.16	16.5	17.8	-1.37
Oliver Miller	43	42	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-2	11	18.2	17.8	0.32	16.8	16.5	0.26
Jamal Mashburn	47	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-5	17	17.5	18.7	-1.27	17.2	15.9	1.33
George McCloud	70	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	3	1	17.5	20.9	-3.40	16.3	18.1	-1.73
Jim Jackson	67	68	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	12	-17	18.4	16.1	2.30	16.5	17.2	-0.76
Eric Montross	39	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	17.8	18.2	-0.32	16.5	16.8	-0.26
Samaki Walker	21	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	13	-19	19.9	17.4	2.54	18.4	16.0	2.42

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	70	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-13	19	15.4	22.6	-7.21	18.5	15.5	3.03
George Lynch	71	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-13	19	15.4	23.6	-8.26	18.2	16.6	1.59
Pete Chilcutt	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-4	1	21.1	16.2	4.92	17.8	18.0	-0.19
Anthony Peeler	67	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-10	13	15.3	21.9	-6.58	17.7	19.1	-1.32
Lawrence Moten	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	19.7	16.3	3.40	15.8	18.3	-2.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-14	21	16.1	19.1	-2.93	18.2	17.2	0.99
Moochie Norris	5	4	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	1	-9	28.0	15.9	12.09	14.7	18.2	-3.43
Bryant Reeves	64	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-5	3	16.8	16.1	0.70	18.4	16.6	1.87
Roy Rogers	29	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	12	-31	18.9	15.5	3.41	16.4	18.8	-2.45
Blue Edwards	28	28	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.15	-20	13	-33	20.5	14.7	5.75	18.4	17.8	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, NJN 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.2%
TOR 89, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	91.9%
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.8%