NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	6.7 [429]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +23.6%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	5.6 [89]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -25.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.16	-0.01	16	68%	0.27	2	-0.03	18	83%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.00	10	55%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	66%	0.08	3	-0.07	11	73%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Bison Dele	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	14	33%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.03	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	18	42%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.33,-0.31,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.08	0.01	11	47%	-0.06	5	-0.19	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.1	1.8	25.6	16.7	22.2	2.4	35.6	137.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +17.6%

DET +21.3%

NYK -28.5%

DET +39.8%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	16.0	15.6	105.6	96.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		102.8	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.9		98.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	19.8	17.7	12.5	16.3
NYK	13.4	18.1	14.3	18.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	51	50	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-6	20	15.2	17.9	-2.67	17.3	14.4	2.87
Grant Hill	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	0	8	15.6	21.7	-6.15	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Lindsey Hunter	88	87	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	16.4	13.0	3.38	16.2	8.0	8.21
Malik Sealy	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-1	10	16.5	15.5	1.05	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Bison Dele	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-3	14	15.9	17.4	-1.53	16.4	15.1	1.31
Rick Mahorn	22	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	8	-8	19.2	15.4	3.78	16.4	15.9	0.45
Jerome Williams	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.1	16.6	-2.43	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Theo Ratliff	9	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	9	-10	22.6	15.6	6.92	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Don Reid	2	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	10	-12	15.5	16.4	-0.86	17.0	16.0	1.01
Grant Long	53	54	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	15	-22	16.9	15.6	1.31	14.3	18.7	-4.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	53	55	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-13	18	14.9	17.7	-2.81	17.1	15.2	1.88
Charlie Ward	39	39	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.02	5	-13	18	14.3	17.4	-3.10	17.7	15.3	2.46
Buck Williams	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-6	4	18.7	15.6	3.09	22.9	15.4	7.50
Chris Mills	28	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	19.0	14.7	4.29	16.7	16.2	0.50
Patrick Ewing	69	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.1	19.1	-4.03	16.1	17.2	-1.04
Chris Dudley	20	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	19.1	15.1	4.03	17.2	16.1	1.04
Allan Houston	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	14.7	20.6	-5.97	15.2	19.9	-4.67
Larry Johnson	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-5	2	15.6	17.5	-1.91	15.7	18.7	-3.05
Chris Childs	50	50	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.29	-13	5	-18	17.4	14.3	3.10	15.3	17.7	-2.46
John Starks	37	38	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	5	-18	17.9	14.7	3.25	16.4	16.3	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 112, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.28,0	92.3%
MIN 97, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	92.1%
TOR 111, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	91.9%