NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	6.7 [502]		MVP	Juan Dixon (TOR): +19.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	5.6 [278]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.02	12	54%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.01	17	65%	0.23	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.10	0.03	5	86%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	9	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	56%	0.06	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Joey Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Luke Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	-0.00	-0.01	17	70%	0.24	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	10	74%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	10	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.14	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	23	34%	-0.12	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	29.4	15.6	24.2	1.8	33.0	132.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +18.3%

TOR +10.3%

TOR +2.2%

TOR +18.8%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.4	116.8	106.4	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	13.5	18.9	16.3	16.0
MIN	13.8	15.3	13.8	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	89	88	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-5	21	16.0	15.2	0.86	14.5	14.2	0.36
Anthony Parker	76	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-6	23	16.5	13.8	2.66	14.7	13.6	1.10
Jose Calderon	40	41	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	0	11	16.0	15.9	0.05	13.6	15.2	-1.67
Juan Dixon	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	2	7	15.7	16.3	-0.62	13.5	15.9	-2.34
Kris Humphries	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	3	5	16.0	15.9	0.15	13.4	15.8	-2.46
Luke Jackson	14	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	8	-5	12.1	16.6	-4.57	15.9	14.3	1.62
Rasho Nesterovic	43	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	8	-5	15.9	16.0	-0.15	15.8	13.4	2.46
T.J. Ford	55	53	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	11	-11	15.9	16.0	-0.05	15.2	13.6	1.67
Morris Peterson	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	16	-21	15.2	16.1	-0.82	14.7	14.5	0.29
Joey Graham	39	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.02	-7	18	-25	16.8	15.4	1.40	14.9	14.2	0.68

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	54	54	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.04	8	-19	27	14.2	14.8	-0.61	16.4	15.4	1.02
Mark Blount	44	44	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-13	15	15.2	13.9	1.37	16.2	15.7	0.48
Ricky Davis	77	78	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-15	19	13.8	17.5	-3.70	16.5	13.5	2.97
Marko Jaric	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-3	-5	16.5	13.0	3.48	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Craig Smith	61	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	13.7	16.0	-2.36	16.2	15.5	0.75
Mark Madsen	19	18	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	13.0	14.9	-1.88	14.6	16.3	-1.74
Rashad McCants	42	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-5	-1	13.1	15.7	-2.58	17.2	15.0	2.16
Trenton Hassell	28	29	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	15.6	14.0	1.58	12.9	17.3	-4.37
Kevin Garnett	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	2	-15	15.2	12.9	2.30	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Randy Foye	40	41	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.22	-19	8	-27	14.8	14.2	0.61	15.4	16.4	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 85, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	92.9%
BOS 86, NJN 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.8%
DAL 115, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,0	92.5%