NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	7.0 [388]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +8.0%
New Jersey Nets	77		Comeback	3.9 [524]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -29.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	9	47%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	56%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	58%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	50%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	67%	0.11	5	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	20	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	13	44%	-0.08	1	-0.06	6	0%	-0.12
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.11	0.03	12	53%	-0.03	3	-0.12	8	50%	-0.05
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.17	-0.12	0.01	15	34%	-0.14	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	35.4	15.7	29.0	1.8	29.0	136.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.7%

BOS +20.7%

NJN -24.1%

BOS +2.8%

NJN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	94.5	83.7	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		108.0	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		107.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.7	14.9	16.3	15.3	15.8
NJN	15.3	15.8	15.0	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	56	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	15.4	16.4	-0.98	16.4	14.7	1.74
Glen Davis	27	27	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	15.3	16.0	-0.62	16.4	15.4	0.99
Tony Allen	34	33	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	15.4	16.0	-0.66	16.8	15.1	1.73
Eddie House	49	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	5	-1	15.7	15.9	-0.16	16.3	15.1	1.25
Ray Allen	72	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	6	-3	16.1	14.6	1.50	15.4	16.8	-1.33
Paul Pierce	76	78	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	2	5	15.7	16.3	-0.68	15.4	17.6	-2.20
Rajon Rondo	42	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	4	1	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.1	16.3	-1.25
Kendrick Perkins	35	37	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	11	-13	16.4	15.4	0.98	14.9	16.3	-1.36
Kevin Garnett	64	65	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	11	-13	16.0	15.3	0.62	15.4	16.4	-0.99

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	33	33	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.07	4	-13	17	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.9	15.7	0.17
Sean Williams	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-13	17	16.2	15.5	0.73	15.9	15.7	0.24
Darrell Armstrong	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-3	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.72	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Bostjan Nachbar	46	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-4	-1	14.8	16.7	-1.89	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Jason Collins	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-1	-7	15.5	15.8	-0.29	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Antoine Wright	32	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	16.9	15.1	1.84	15.3	16.0	-0.66
Jason Kidd	76	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-6	3	15.7	15.6	0.10	15.8	15.7	0.10
Josh Boone	70	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-7	5	15.5	16.3	-0.80	16.4	13.8	2.57
Vince Carter	75	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	2	-13	16.0	14.3	1.73	15.6	16.3	-0.63
Richard Jefferson	65	66	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	4	-17	15.8	15.6	0.21	15.9	15.3	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.8%
DAL 105, VAN 98	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.04,0	92.2%
TOR 89, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	92.0%