NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	7.1 [322]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +18.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	80		Comeback	6.0 [124]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -31.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	10	77%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	60%	0.14	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	8	30%	-0.03	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	14	30%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.02	24	59%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	15	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	58%	0.05	3	-0.13	4	25%	-0.04
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	13	37%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	15	37%	-0.08	7	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	29.7	13.8	28.0	1.8	40.2	139.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +40.4%

CHA -1.7%

MEM +8.9%

MEM +12.4%

CHA -10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.8	15.6	94.4	87.9	102.8
season	15.6	16.3		102.0	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	14.9	19.0	12.2	15.0
CHA	17.2	16.4	14.6	19.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	39	38	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.46	15	-10	25	13.9	15.8	-1.84	17.9	16.1	1.85
Quincy Pondexter	42	42	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-10	25	14.2	15.6	-1.41	17.7	16.1	1.57
Marreese Speights	45	44	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.52	3	2	1	14.5	15.4	-0.96	17.8	16.0	1.79
O.J. Mayo	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-5	15	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.8	15.2	2.62
Mike Conley	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	5	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.29	17.5	14.9	2.59
Josh Selby	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	0	5	14.8	15.0	-0.22	15.4	17.3	-1.85
Gilbert Arenas	2	3	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	19.0	14.9	4.12	11.7	17.0	-5.36
Hamed Haddadi	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	13.3	15.2	-1.93	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Zach Randolph	40	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.21	5	0	5	15.4	14.6	0.73	15.8	17.8	-1.97
Tony Allen	28	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	11	-17	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.8	17.7	-2.92
Marc Gasol	42	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.03	-10	15	-25	16.2	13.9	2.29	15.8	17.8	-2.00
Rudy Gay	56	58	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.05	-12	17	-29	15.6	13.9	1.65	16.5	17.5	-0.95

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	0	-5	17.5	16.7	0.79	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Cory Higgins	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.6	16.9	-0.32	13.7	15.4	-1.66
Derrick Brown	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-7	9	16.5	18.3	-1.78	15.3	13.8	1.49
Jamario Moon	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	2	-9	18.3	16.5	1.78	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Kemba Walker	68	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	16.9	16.6	0.32	15.4	13.7	1.66
Bismack Biyombo	78	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	16.7	17.7	-0.99	15.1	14.5	0.59
DJ White	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	3	-11	17.7	16.4	1.29	13.5	15.7	-2.14
Gerald Henderson	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-5	5	16.7	17.5	-0.79	15.1	14.1	1.00
Byron Mullens	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-3	1	16.7	17.7	-1.10	15.4	12.7	2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.9%
NYK 101, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0.02,0	91.9%
BOS 86, NJN 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.02,0,0	91.9%