inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement8.4 [213] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +41.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 92 Comeback4.2 [165] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -33.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.420,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.42-0.060.46-0.021753%0.524-0.10450%-0.03
Bruce Bowen0.180,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.180.030.15-0.01955%0.1800.0020%-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.080.01757%0.1000.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00958%0.101-0.0410%-0.01
Robert Horry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0120%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.030.00637%-0.052-0.06450%-0.03
Tony Parker-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14-0.02-0.110.011654%-0.043-0.103100%0.02
Manu Ginobili-0.330,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.33-0.11-0.22-0.00953%-0.114-0.221464%-0.14

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.080.003100%0.1400.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.10.10-0.020.12-0.002153%0.243-0.14786%0.02
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01583%0.082-0.042100%0.01
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.001338%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00450%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.07-0.070.02-0.080.011258%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.16-0.10-0.012237%-0.162-0.101070%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.429.315.528.02.037.5139.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +64.6%
CLE -17.3%
SAS +17.0%
CLE -10.3%
CLE -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCLENBASASCLENBA
this game15.315.315.5101.196.8104.0
season16.316.2105.8104.6
opponent15.315.6103.998.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.714.014.814.715.3
CLE13.716.514.616.615.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili59600.77-0.271.030.509-71614.416.9-2.5616.014.21.82
Tim Duncan64640.63-0.130.760.514-2614.517.0-2.4815.714.61.04
Rasho Nesterovic64630.470.030.440.1511-92013.918.3-4.4416.513.13.45
Bruce Bowen77780.360.140.220.42-24-615.116.2-1.1614.718.4-3.73
Tony Parker75770.350.150.200.47-46-1015.116.1-0.9514.519.1-4.64
Devin Brown17180.180.32-0.150.064-2615.215.3-0.1417.414.92.52
Beno Udrih18180.150.35-0.20-0.026-41016.115.10.9519.114.54.64
Brent Barry33350.080.42-0.350.22-57-1217.514.13.4014.216.0-1.82
Robert Horry2931-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-24-617.014.52.4814.615.7-1.04
Nazr Mohammed2931-0.350.85-1.20-0.03-1113-2418.313.94.4413.516.2-2.77

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Drew Gooden78750.30-0.801.090.039-112015.116.6-1.5815.813.12.70
DeSagana Diop13140.04-0.540.580.040-2218.814.84.0515.615.20.33
Lucious Harris1616-0.03-0.470.430.05-31-418.714.74.0916.515.01.46
Sasha Pavlovic65-0.09-0.410.310.02-42-619.315.14.2517.415.22.23
Ira Newble6462-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-5814.517.0-2.5015.514.90.58
Jeff McInnis7270-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.464-61014.119.1-4.9915.215.5-0.31
LeBron James8988-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.472-4615.119.3-4.2515.217.4-2.23
Robert Traylor1618-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.15-97-1617.714.92.8113.115.8-2.70
Zydrunas Ilgauskas8279-0.540.04-0.58-0.48-20-214.818.8-4.0515.215.6-0.33
Eric Snow3938-0.790.29-1.07-0.49-108-1817.114.13.0214.615.8-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 96, MIL 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.36,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.04,091.5%
UTA 102, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.28,0.45,0.1,091.4%
PHI 86, IND 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.08,091.3%