NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	8.3 [211]		MVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): +28.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	3.0 [383]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -28.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.03	10	69%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	18	57%	0.20	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.04
Jeff Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.12	-0.00	8	50%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.18	0.03	24	55%	0.30	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.06
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.13	-0.03	9	60%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	-0.00	12	33%	-0.10	1	-0.16	6	50%	-0.06
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	11	17%	-0.20	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	28.0	15.8	27.1	2.4	42.6	143.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.3%

MIL -0.2%

MIL -0.7%

BOS +6.8%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.3	15.4	100.0	98.9	104.1
season	14.9	14.7		101.2	101.6
opponent	15.3	16.2		103.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	14.5	14.5	13.0	14.2
MIL	15.4	19.1	16.2	14.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	58	58	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-3	10	14.7	13.5	1.18	17.1	14.9	2.26
Rajon Rondo	78	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	0	4	13.8	16.1	-2.30	15.1	21.0	-5.95
Paul Pierce	72	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	13.6	16.2	-2.62	15.7	18.0	-2.21
Courtney Lee	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	0	4	15.2	13.1	2.08	18.1	14.1	3.96
Brandon Bass	58	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	0	4	14.6	13.7	0.92	16.8	15.2	1.60
Jeff Green	53	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	5	-6	13.8	14.8	-1.00	16.0	16.6	-0.65
Jason Terry	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-1	6	13.3	15.1	-1.76	15.4	17.1	-1.78
Jared Sullinger	14	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	15.6	14.0	1.64	18.4	16.0	2.39
Leandro Barbosa	15	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	16.8	13.8	3.03	18.9	15.8	3.18
Chris Wilcox	34	30	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	9	-14	14.0	14.4	-0.42	14.5	17.1	-2.56

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	46	49	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.00	7	-11	18	15.5	17.0	-1.48	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Ekpe Udoh	29	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-10	16	17.6	15.7	1.86	15.0	13.9	1.14
Larry Sanders	52	56	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-8	12	15.4	17.3	-1.87	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Beno Udrih	33	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-6	8	15.0	17.0	-2.01	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Mike Dunleavy	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	16.0	16.4	-0.38	15.0	13.9	1.06
Tobias Harris	16	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	5	-14	22.0	15.1	6.92	15.8	13.9	1.92
Monta Ellis	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	15.9	17.9	-2.01	14.1	14.7	-0.55
Samuel Dalembert	40	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	3	-10	17.7	15.2	2.60	15.2	13.6	1.65
Ersan Ilyasova	65	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	15.4	18.2	-2.73	14.1	14.6	-0.52
Brandon Jennings	82	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	5	-14	16.5	14.3	2.26	14.1	15.3	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.36,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, CLE 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.01,0	91.5%
IND 100, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.01,0	90.7%
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	90.6%