NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	7.2 [413]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +18.5%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	3.1 [248]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -30.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.09	0.02	8	80%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	19	61%	0.20	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	7	72%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
David Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	16	41%	-0.10	2	-0.06	14	64%	-0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3	-0.21	-0.10	-0.01	6	7%	-0.16	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	12	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	4	70%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	18	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	9	64%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.5	33.4	15.7	23.2	2.8	39.0	144.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

IND +6.4%

IND +36.4%

BOS -22.2%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	15.5	101.0	93.1	104.0
season	16.8	14.4		101.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		104.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	17.4	16.5	14.7	15.3
BOS	12.1	12.6	14.2	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	15.8	14.3	1.48	13.6	13.2	0.44
David Harrison	28	28	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-5	16	16.8	14.7	2.09	16.4	12.4	4.01
Austin Croshere	78	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	4	-2	14.8	17.1	-2.25	13.0	15.3	-2.25
Fred Jones	66	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	5	-4	15.4	15.2	0.26	13.6	13.3	0.22
Jamaal Tinsley	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	5	-4	14.2	16.9	-2.66	13.8	13.1	0.66
Jermaine O'Neal	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-1	8	15.8	14.8	0.99	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Stephen Jackson	71	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	2	2	14.6	17.2	-2.69	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Eddie Gill	40	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	2	2	16.6	14.4	2.23	12.6	14.0	-1.40
Scot Pollard	38	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	13	-20	15.3	15.4	-0.10	13.3	13.6	-0.24

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	38	40	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-10	14	12.1	14.4	-2.31	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Jiri Welsch	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-5	4	14.4	13.1	1.29	15.9	15.1	0.78
Marcus Banks	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	10.7	13.7	-2.98	14.6	15.4	-0.76
Tom Gugliotta	33	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-1	-4	14.7	12.9	1.79	15.8	15.1	0.70
Al Jefferson	24	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	0	-6	13.5	13.5	-0.05	15.9	15.2	0.74
Tony Allen	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	4	-14	15.7	12.9	2.81	16.0	15.1	0.91
Gary Payton	83	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-8	10	13.2	14.8	-1.56	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Mark Blount	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	14.0	12.3	1.71	15.8	14.1	1.70
Paul Pierce	83	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-5	4	13.0	15.8	-2.85	15.0	16.7	-1.71
Walter McCarty	32	32	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	13.6	13.4	0.19	15.7	15.1	0.54
Ricky Davis	83	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	0	-6	13.4	13.9	-0.55	15.1	16.3	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 86, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.08,0	92.3%
ORL 107, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	92.1%
PHX 108, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.25,0.15,0.23,0,0	91.7%