NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	7.9 [219]		MVP	Al Harrington (IND): +15.6%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	2.5 [466]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -34.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	78%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.04	-0.00	11	48%	0.06	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	0.03	-0.01	16	31%	-0.02	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.26,-0.25	-0.22	-0.05	-0.02	25	40%	-0.12	4	-0.13	17	82%	0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	5	100%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick McKey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	20	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.08	0.05	20	35%	-0.18	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.22	-0.02	12	32%	-0.14	3	-0.21	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.0	30.1	18.6	24.3	2.4	41.6	146.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -1.1%

PHI +27.6%

PHI +19.2%

PHI +3.5%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.5	95.6	90.0	100.9
season	15.7	15.9		101.4	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.9	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.8	16.4	17.9	14.0	16.6
IND	14.8	14.9	15.6	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	76	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-4	13	17.3	13.1	4.15	15.3	15.9	-0.66
Allen Iverson	87	86	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	16.5	21.3	-4.85	15.2	17.7	-2.51
Tyrone Hill	71	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	1	3	16.8	16.1	0.75	15.6	14.5	1.05
Theo Ratliff	54	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	5	-5	16.9	16.2	0.66	15.2	15.6	-0.33
Rodney Buford	27	26	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-5	15	15.9	17.0	-1.13	16.8	14.8	2.04
Jumaine Jones	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	2	1	17.0	16.6	0.43	15.4	15.3	0.05
George Lynch	75	75	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.13	-4	9	-13	16.3	18.5	-2.19	14.8	18.1	-3.33
Todd MacCulloch	34	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.06	-1	6	-7	16.5	16.7	-0.18	15.7	15.1	0.59
Kevin Ollie	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	10	-15	15.5	16.8	-1.36	15.3	15.4	-0.09

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	43	44	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-4	3	13.9	16.7	-2.73	16.1	17.1	-0.99
Sam Perkins	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-7	9	15.3	15.4	-0.02	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Jonathan Bender	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	9.0	15.4	-6.43	3.0	17.0	-13.95
Derrick McKey	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	14.8	15.4	-0.63	11.8	17.2	-5.45
Jeff Foster	60	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	16.0	14.0	1.98	16.9	16.0	0.92
Reggie Miller	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	15.3	15.7	-0.46	16.2	19.3	-3.10
Al Harrington	34	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	15.5	15.2	0.28	16.4	16.8	-0.40
Travis Best	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-3	1	15.7	14.2	1.49	18.0	10.7	7.32
Jermaine O'Neal	61	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.8	14.3	1.49	17.3	15.4	1.97
Jalen Rose	82	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	5	-15	15.1	17.6	-2.49	16.4	19.4	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.01,0	92.3%
ORL 97, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	92.1%
WAS 99, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	91.7%