NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	7.7 [309]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +28.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	1.7 [785]		LVP	Lavoy Allen (IND): -19.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.23	0.15	0.08	-0.00	17	66%	0.23	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul George	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	21	64%	0.16	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Myles Turner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
George Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	16	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	15	23%	-0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	5	0%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.14	0.00	8	80%	0.28	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	18	58%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	23	48%	0.11	2	-0.06	14	64%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	15	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	27.6	14.8	28.0	2.5	38.5	138.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +49.7%

CLE +12.6%

IND -1.0%

IND -11.8%

CLE +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	14.9	105.4	109.8	105.1
season	14.6	15.8		103.2	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.8	19.2	14.0	15.0	16.3
CLE	13.5	16.8	13.7	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	36	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-5	6	14.9	17.3	-2.42	13.3	16.2	-2.90
Paul George	74	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-9	14	16.4	15.9	0.56	15.2	14.0	1.20
Lavoy Allen	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-8	12	15.7	17.0	-1.37	16.5	13.4	3.15
Ian Mahinmi	39	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	4	-12	17.4	15.6	1.82	15.2	14.8	0.33
Glenn Robinson	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	1	-6	16.2	16.4	-0.26	15.2	14.9	0.37
Myles Turner	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	3	-10	15.5	16.9	-1.33	13.5	16.0	-2.54
Jordan Hill	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-6	8	17.1	14.9	2.19	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Monta Ellis	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	2	-8	16.0	17.3	-1.35	14.4	16.4	-1.91
George Hill	75	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.41	-6	2	-8	17.0	13.5	3.52	15.7	11.8	3.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	63	62	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.48	13	-9	22	15.0	15.0	-0.05	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Kevin Love	73	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-10	24	15.2	14.0	1.22	16.9	14.1	2.79
Mo Williams	72	73	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	14.7	16.0	-1.38	16.8	14.4	2.48
Tristan Thompson	58	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-2	8	14.4	15.9	-1.54	17.0	15.2	1.84
LeBron James	68	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	3	-2	15.0	14.8	0.24	15.8	17.7	-1.84
James Jones	6	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	12.0	15.2	-3.17	16.6	16.3	0.25
Richard Jefferson	58	60	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	11	-18	14.4	15.9	-1.50	16.4	16.3	0.09
Jared Cunningham	17	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	11	-18	16.8	14.5	2.28	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Timofey Mozgov	45	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	16	-28	16.1	13.9	2.24	15.1	17.4	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.39,0.63,0.76,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	91.9%
MIA 103, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	91.6%
MEM 85, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	91.6%