NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	4.3 [963]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	1.0 [933]		LVP	Ryan Kelly (LAL): -6.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.01	13	89%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	62%	0.10	3	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	13	38%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	17	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	30.3	15.0	22.7	2.0	34.2	132.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.3%

LAL -6.2%

DAL +5.3%

DAL +5.9%

DAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	14.9	105.1	94.9	105.1
season	15.5	15.2		105.0	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	16.0	15.2	16.9	15.8
LAL	11.6	16.7	14.8	11.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	57	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-2	14	16.5	14.9	1.67	13.6	13.4	0.18
Deron Williams	61	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	1	8	15.7	16.0	-0.28	14.5	11.8	2.66
Zaza Pachulia	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	3	4	15.7	16.1	-0.41	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Devin Harris	49	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	4	2	15.6	16.1	-0.51	12.7	14.3	-1.53
Chandler Parsons	20	23	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	-2	14	17.2	15.5	1.73	16.0	12.8	3.19
Wesley Matthews	50	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	2	6	15.8	15.9	-0.05	14.4	12.5	1.84
Raymond Felton	61	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	5	0	15.1	17.0	-1.84	12.9	14.5	-1.54
Charlie Villanueva	25	23	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	7	-4	15.9	15.8	0.13	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Jose Juan Barea	50	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	14	-18	16.6	15.0	1.58	12.0	15.0	-3.04
Dwight Powell	53	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	15.5	16.2	-0.69	13.9	13.2	0.61
Jeremy Evans	4	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	16	-22	11.0	16.0	-5.03	7.5	13.7	-6.19

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcelo Huertas	21	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-7	4	16.1	12.9	3.23	17.4	15.4	2.04
Roy Hibbert	56	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-8	6	13.6	13.5	0.15	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Julius Randle	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-12	14	13.2	14.5	-1.31	15.6	16.4	-0.74
D'Angelo Russell	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-9	8	13.3	14.0	-0.68	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-8	6	13.6	13.5	0.16	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Lou Williams	54	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-10	10	12.9	14.4	-1.54	16.1	15.4	0.70
Ryan Kelly	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	2	-14	14.5	13.2	1.31	16.4	15.6	0.74
Brandon Bass	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	13.8	13.4	0.43	16.4	15.4	0.93
Nick Young	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	1	-12	13.5	13.6	-0.14	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Jordan Clarkson	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	3	-16	13.3	13.9	-0.59	15.2	16.9	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.03,0	95.2%
NYK 100, MIA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%