NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	3.7 [1102]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DAL): +13.2%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	1.6 [433]		LVP	Mirza Teletovic (PHX): -12.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.00	0.09	14	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	8	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	57%	0.02
Justin Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	38%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	9	42%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.05	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	9	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	13	35%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	7	82%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	3	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	42%	-0.07	2	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	0.03	10	24%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	32.2	15.4	30.4	2.4	29.6	141.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.4%

DAL +1.9%

PHX -17.7%

DAL +16.1%

DAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.4	14.9	106.7	91.3	105.1
season	15.5	14.4		105.0	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		107.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	12.8	14.5	18.1	14.3
PHX	13.0	15.4	12.7	12.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-9	34	14.5	13.7	0.81	12.8	14.7	-1.89
Zaza Pachulia	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-10	36	13.2	15.5	-2.35	13.4	13.4	-0.02
Deron Williams	44	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	0	16	13.7	14.7	-0.92	13.9	13.1	0.84
Wesley Matthews	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	-5	26	13.6	15.0	-1.35	15.5	11.1	4.38
Charlie Villanueva	29	30	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	12	-8	15.1	13.9	1.19	14.8	12.8	2.00
Dirk Nowitzki	45	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.37	21	-5	26	13.6	14.8	-1.24	14.3	12.7	1.62
Jeremy Evans	57	55	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	11	-6	14.5	14.0	0.55	13.2	13.7	-0.49
Devin Harris	50	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	13	-10	13.7	14.8	-1.04	13.6	13.3	0.29
Justin Anderson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	27	-38	20.0	13.8	6.20	6.0	14.0	-8.03
Salah Mejri	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	25	-34	14.5	14.3	0.23	4.8	13.9	-9.11
John Jenkins	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	26	-36	20.0	13.8	6.20	6.0	14.0	-8.03
Dwight Powell	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	15	-14	13.5	14.7	-1.18	13.2	13.5	-0.36
Jose Juan Barea	51	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.30	-12	28	-40	15.4	13.2	2.18	13.6	13.3	0.29

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	33	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.18	8	-24	32	13.2	13.5	-0.38	14.6	14.1	0.48
Ronnie Price	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-23	30	12.9	13.6	-0.64	16.0	13.8	2.15
Mirza Teletovic	39	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-20	24	12.7	13.9	-1.19	13.9	14.5	-0.61
TJ Warren	47	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-12	8	13.6	13.3	0.29	12.2	15.9	-3.74
Jon Leuer	43	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-17	18	15.1	12.2	2.90	13.9	14.5	-0.67
Devin Booker	42	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-20	24	12.9	13.8	-0.89	16.9	12.3	4.56
Alex Len	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-6	-4	13.3	13.5	-0.22	13.3	14.7	-1.38
Markieff Morris	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-5	-6	13.3	13.5	-0.18	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Archie Goodwin	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-21	26	12.7	13.8	-1.05	16.5	13.1	3.41
PJ Tucker	19	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-3	-10	13.1	13.5	-0.38	15.6	14.0	1.64
Tyson Chandler	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.25	-23	7	-30	13.9	13.1	0.80	12.6	15.3	-2.68
Brandon Knight	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	7	-30	13.1	14.2	-1.14	14.1	14.9	-0.87
Eric Bledsoe	69	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.12	-25	9	-34	13.9	12.5	1.44	13.9	15.0	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DET 95, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NJN 87, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%