NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	3.9 [1066]		MVP	Alex Len (PHX): +5.9%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	1.3 [143]		LVP	Devyn Marble (ORL): -10.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	22	53%	0.09	4	-0.04	14	79%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	10	36%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	48%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.00
John Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.03	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.08	19	37%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	9	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	-0.04	14	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devyn Marble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.3	28.3	14.7	28.8	1.6	30.2	128.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.3%

PHX +6.8%

PHX +3.5%

ORL -6.6%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.1	14.9	94.4	80.8	105.1
season	14.4	14.6		100.9	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.4		105.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	14.0	13.3	14.9	14.1
ORL	12.7	14.2	13.8	11.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	99	98	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-1	20	14.0	14.4	-0.42	13.2	10.8	2.40
Alex Len	80	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	-10	38	13.6	15.3	-1.66	13.4	12.1	1.28
Devin Booker	73	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	1	16	14.1	14.0	0.12	13.4	12.4	1.02
PJ Tucker	70	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-1	20	14.2	13.8	0.41	13.3	12.7	0.61
Tyson Chandler	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	5	8	13.7	14.4	-0.63	13.7	12.4	1.31
Mirza Teletovic	62	58	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	20	-22	14.5	13.5	0.93	12.4	14.0	-1.58
Jon Leuer	22	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	21	-24	15.3	13.7	1.53	12.0	13.3	-1.30
Archie Goodwin	38	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	19	-20	13.8	14.2	-0.41	12.7	13.3	-0.61
John Jenkins	44	41	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	18	-18	14.1	14.0	0.02	12.2	13.7	-1.41

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	12.5	13.1	-0.63	17.5	13.9	3.65
Shabazz Napier	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	12.5	13.1	-0.63	17.5	13.9	3.65
Jason Smith	26	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-18	18	12.0	13.5	-1.51	14.2	14.0	0.25
Ersan Ilyasova	40	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	-10	2	13.3	12.9	0.41	13.8	14.2	-0.40
CJ Watson	53	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-17	16	12.5	13.7	-1.23	14.1	14.0	0.14
Brandon Jennings	28	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.14	-9	-9	0	13.2	13.0	0.21	14.7	13.8	0.94
Aaron Gordon	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-12	6	13.4	12.9	0.55	12.6	14.8	-2.26
Devyn Marble	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-5	-8	13.5	12.9	0.54	15.0	13.6	1.36
Evan Fournier	58	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-11	4	12.9	13.3	-0.45	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Dewayne Dedmon	17	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-3	-12	14.5	12.8	1.71	16.7	13.5	3.19
Mario Hezonja	74	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-11	4	13.0	13.2	-0.19	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Elfrid Payton	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-9	0	13.0	13.2	-0.21	13.8	14.7	-0.94
Nikola Vucevic	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-7	-4	13.5	12.4	1.02	13.6	14.8	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 111, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
POR 139, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%