NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +33.2%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	13.0 [122]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -35.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.33	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.33	-0.08	0.43	0.01	18	52%	0.53	6	-0.20	6	33%	-0.07
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.00	6	71%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.01	19	53%	0.05	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.03
Otto Porter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	8	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	6	7%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	8	55%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	20	40%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	9	61%	0.13	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	19%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.21	0.00	14	50%	-0.16	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32	-0.32	-0.08	-0.24	-0.00	15	37%	-0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.35	-0.35	-0.07	-0.27	0.01	13	38%	-0.30	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	30.6	15.4	24.6	2.5	39.2	140.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +102.0%

ORL -5.9%

ORL -43.2%

WAS +8.5%

ORL -11.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.0	14.9	88.0	87.9	105.1
season	13.8	14.6		104.1	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.1	13.7	14.4	14.8	14.0
ORL	14.1	15.1	15.6	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	77	77	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.45	19	-18	37	13.6	15.1	-1.51	15.0	14.9	0.09
Marcin Gortat	76	76	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.47	14	-13	27	13.2	16.4	-3.16	14.9	15.2	-0.25
John Wall	81	82	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-9	19	14.2	12.9	1.26	15.0	14.6	0.40
Bradley Beal	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	-3	7	13.5	15.8	-2.33	15.0	14.9	0.10
Gary Neal	38	38	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.65	-5	6	-11	14.2	13.8	0.39	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Kris Humphries	55	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.19	9	-8	17	13.5	14.5	-0.98	15.8	14.0	1.80
Nene	24	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.00	-13	14	-27	16.4	13.2	3.16	15.2	14.9	0.25
Drew Gooden	40	39	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.03	-14	15	-29	14.9	13.3	1.59	14.6	15.2	-0.69
Ramon Sessions	30	28	-0.52	1.02	-1.55	0.03	-19	20	-39	14.7	13.6	1.09	14.3	15.2	-0.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	27	28	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.13	12	-13	25	16.0	14.6	1.40	16.6	13.0	3.61
CJ Watson	46	46	0.41	-0.91	1.33	-0.08	17	-18	35	13.5	16.3	-2.76	14.6	13.4	1.14
Aaron Gordon	32	36	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-3	5	15.7	14.7	1.00	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Evan Fournier	56	56	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	0	-1	13.8	16.5	-2.67	15.1	12.5	2.58
Jason Smith	12	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	4	-9	13.8	15.1	-1.30	11.4	14.3	-2.86
Mario Hezonja	49	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.51	2	-3	5	16.4	13.6	2.75	13.4	14.6	-1.26
Tobias Harris	67	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.56	-1	0	-1	14.7	15.7	-1.00	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Victor Oladipo	73	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.38	-10	9	-19	15.9	12.3	3.68	13.6	15.0	-1.46
Elfrid Payton	73	73	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.49	-11	10	-21	14.9	15.2	-0.29	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Nikola Vucevic	60	61	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.68	-10	9	-19	14.7	15.3	-0.58	13.4	14.8	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.65,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.91,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.54,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.85,0	89.2%
OKC 122, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.47,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.69,0	88.7%
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	88.2%