NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Excitement	10.5 [50]		MVP	Jeff Green (OKC): +98.4%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	5.2 [185]		LVP	Ronny Turiaf (GSW): -10.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.98	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.98	0.18	0.83	0.02	14	79%	1.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.45	0.13	0.33	0.00	19	70%	0.57	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.09
Kyle Weaver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	150%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	22	48%	0.01	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.05,-0.05,0.51	0.51	-0.05	0.57	0.00	12	46%	0.68	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.02	10	95%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	15	63%	0.24	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.04
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	18	62%	0.28	5	-0.14	11	100%	0.08
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.25,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	64%	0.25	1	-0.19	6	83%	0.01
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.0	32.1	15.7	30.5	2.5	36.5	143.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +21.3%

GSW -20.7%

OKC +27.9%

OKC +12.2%

OKC +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	15.5	124.5	121.0	106.4
season	14.9	13.8		100.5	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		111.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	13.8	15.4	19.6	15.8
GSW	13.8	12.4	12.8	14.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	66	67	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.54	10	-9	19	15.6	16.2	-0.61	13.7	12.6	1.05
Kevin Durant	90	91	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	-3	7	16.2	11.5	4.66	13.4	12.4	0.98
Earl Watson	49	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-3	7	16.4	15.1	1.35	13.5	13.2	0.29
Russell Westbrook	82	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.55	0	1	-1	15.2	18.9	-3.78	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Nenad Krstic	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	0	1	16.5	15.1	1.45	12.4	14.1	-1.72
Nick Collison	52	54	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	1	-1	15.1	16.5	-1.45	14.1	12.4	1.72
Desmond Mason	70	71	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	4	-7	14.7	18.5	-3.76	13.0	14.2	-1.22
Kyle Weaver	35	35	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	12	-23	17.8	14.6	3.19	13.7	13.2	0.53

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	64	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-9	17	13.8	12.6	1.18	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Anthony Morrow	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-1	1	13.1	13.4	-0.35	16.4	15.6	0.85
Anthony Randolph	10	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	4	-9	14.0	13.3	0.73	14.7	15.9	-1.18
CJ Watson	38	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-5	9	11.8	14.3	-2.42	17.4	14.8	2.55
Rob Kurz	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	9	-19	13.0	13.4	-0.39	14.7	16.1	-1.35
Ronny Turiaf	83	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.59	10	-11	21	13.4	13.2	0.20	16.1	14.3	1.79
Jamal Crawford	85	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-1	1	13.8	10.7	3.15	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Kelenna Azubuike	80	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	7	-15	13.1	14.2	-1.07	15.0	18.9	-3.93
Stephen Jackson	92	92	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	3	-7	13.5	12.0	1.46	16.0	11.8	4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.47,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.69,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 109, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.59,0.42,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.73,0	90.2%
HOU 97, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.54,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.85,0	89.5%
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	89.5%