NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	8.9 [127]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +53.1%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	8.0 [144]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -25.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.53	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.53	0.11	0.45	0.02	13	67%	0.60	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.10
Kyle Lowry	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	80%	0.23	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Patrick Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Luis Scola	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	12	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Charles Hayes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	8	54%	-0.03	3	-0.15	8	62%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	91%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0	0.00	-0.06	0.06	0.00	16	53%	0.17	5	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	16	54%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	7	14%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0.00	18	43%	-0.25	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	28.4	15.8	26.2	1.6	30.8	130.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.0%

HOU +22.1%

UTA -6.6%

UTA -11.4%

HOU +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.2	15.5	110.2	110.3	105.7
season	15.2	15.9		109.5	106.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		108.2	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	15.6	16.4	16.2	15.7
UTA	17.3	15.0	17.1	19.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	58	60	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.51	15	-14	29	14.7	17.7	-2.99	18.1	15.3	2.80
Luis Scola	67	67	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.55	10	-9	19	14.8	18.5	-3.72	17.8	15.2	2.64
Kevin Martin	60	61	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.59	3	-2	5	15.5	16.1	-0.61	16.9	18.1	-1.21
Shane Battier	55	55	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-6	13	14.6	17.5	-2.92	17.6	16.6	1.06
Charles Hayes	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	1	-1	15.4	17.3	-1.89	17.6	15.5	2.06
Chase Budinger	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	7	-13	17.5	14.6	2.92	16.6	17.6	-1.06
Patrick Patterson	24	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	5	-9	17.9	14.9	3.00	16.2	17.6	-1.44
Jared Jeffries	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	5	-9	18.4	15.3	3.05	13.5	17.8	-4.22
Courtney Lee	14	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	6	-11	17.7	15.3	2.40	15.2	17.6	-2.44
Aaron Brooks	44	40	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.16	-11	12	-23	16.7	14.7	1.93	17.1	17.3	-0.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	19	21	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.08	5	-6	11	15.8	17.6	-1.84	17.9	15.0	2.84
Ronnie Price	37	37	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-5	9	16.6	17.7	-1.11	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Francisco Elson	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-1	1	16.3	17.4	-1.08	16.4	15.5	0.85
CJ Miles	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.51	10	-11	21	16.8	18.3	-1.48	16.0	15.0	1.00
Gordon Hayward	26	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	10	-21	18.3	16.8	1.48	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Al Jefferson	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	0	-1	17.4	16.3	1.08	15.5	16.4	-0.85
Raja Bell	56	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.54	-1	0	-1	17.0	17.6	-0.65	15.9	15.3	0.57
Earl Watson	81	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	4	-9	17.7	11.2	6.51	15.6	17.3	-1.76
Paul Millsap	68	67	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.55	-6	5	-11	17.6	15.8	1.84	15.0	17.9	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.54,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 122, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.47,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.69,0	89.5%
WAS 88, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.65,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.91,0.92,0	89.2%
NYK 101, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.31,0.42,0	88.9%