NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	8.6 [185]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +37.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	3.6 [143]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -15.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.38	0.06	0.32	0.00	12	62%	0.48	4	-0.10	15	67%	-0.07
Quentin Richardson	0.37	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.24	0.14	0.01	15	82%	0.37	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25	0.04	0.21	-0.00	8	61%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	77%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Jerome James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	10	59%	-0.00	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Shannon Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	77%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	22	49%	0.17	5	-0.20	11	64%	-0.06
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	43%	0.08	2	-0.15	4	50%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	34.4	14.7	27.2	2.5	40.5	147.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +61.5%

CLE -0.6%

CLE -6.3%

CLE -3.5%

CLE -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.4	113.5	110.1	104.5
season	15.7	16.0		103.7	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	16.3	18.3	15.4	16.2
CLE	16.3	17.2	17.7	14.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	61	58	1.07	-0.57	1.63	0.60	16	-13	29	15.8	16.9	-1.06	16.9	14.9	2.03
Eddy Curry	67	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-5	13	16.6	14.8	1.79	16.4	15.5	0.85
Steve Francis	54	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-5	13	16.4	15.8	0.65	16.8	15.3	1.49
Quentin Richardson	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-2	7	16.2	15.4	0.81	16.5	13.7	2.81
Jamal Crawford	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	5	-7	15.9	16.5	-0.53	14.7	18.3	-3.56
David Lee	47	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	2	-1	16.7	15.6	1.09	17.2	15.0	2.21
Nate Robinson	34	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	5	-7	16.2	16.1	0.06	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Mardy Collins	1	0	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	6	-9	1.0	16.3	-15.34	0.0	16.2	-16.19
Renaldo Balkman	22	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	5	-7	15.5	16.4	-0.83	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Jerome James	6	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	8	-13	16.2	16.2	-0.00	13.9	16.4	-2.53
Malik Rose	22	21	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.15	-9	12	-21	15.5	16.4	-0.89	15.1	16.5	-1.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	17	19	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-10	17	14.9	16.5	-1.54	14.0	16.8	-2.76
Anderson Varejao	46	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-5	7	15.0	17.5	-2.56	16.8	15.5	1.36
Shannon Brown	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	19.0	15.3	3.67	16.7	16.0	0.68
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-2	1	16.7	15.0	1.74	16.6	15.2	1.38
Sasha Pavlovic	42	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-1	-1	14.7	17.5	-2.80	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Damon Jones	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.45	5	-8	13	15.3	18.0	-2.69	15.7	17.1	-1.42
LeBron James	76	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	16.2	16.2	-0.05	16.0	17.5	-1.54
Drew Gooden	40	40	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	6	-15	18.0	14.7	3.29	16.1	16.2	-0.17
Eric Snow	78	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	16.5	13.7	2.81	16.4	14.7	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.31,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.23,0.32,0.42,0	91.2%
BKN 88, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.28,0	90.4%
HOU 100, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.42,0	90.4%