NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	9.0 [148]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +24.5%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	1.8 [307]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -19.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.23	-0.01	0.15	-0.08	12	63%	0.31	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.03	7	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	75%	0.16	3	-0.11	4	0%	-0.22
Marcus Thornton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
James Harden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.04,-0.14,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	23	49%	0.17	4	-0.23	5	80%	0.02
Montrezl Harrell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	5	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	7	88%	0.28	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.04
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.12	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	15	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.10
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	16	65%	0.22	8	-0.29	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	12	37%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	9	23%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	30.2	15.5	26.9	2.0	38.2	139.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +64.7%

DAL -36.3%

HOU +15.0%

HOU +5.2%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	14.9	106.4	102.1	105.1
season	14.0	15.5		105.9	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	14.0	15.6	15.5	14.8
DAL	15.3	15.4	17.9	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	65	66	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.32	25	-21	46	14.5	15.3	-0.85	16.3	14.9	1.46
Trevor Ariza	73	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-10	24	14.6	15.2	-0.62	16.5	13.8	2.67
Patrick Beverley	55	55	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-6	16	14.5	15.1	-0.51	16.3	15.4	0.90
James Harden	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	5	-6	15.4	13.0	2.39	16.3	14.8	1.48
Jason Terry	24	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	-5	14	13.5	15.2	-1.74	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Corey Brewer	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	6	-8	14.6	15.0	-0.43	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Marcus Thornton	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	5	-6	13.4	15.0	-1.53	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Clint Capela	52	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	16	-28	15.7	13.6	2.01	16.7	15.0	1.75
Ty Lawson	40	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	12	-20	14.7	14.8	-0.05	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Montrezl Harrell	26	26	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.06	-14	18	-32	15.0	14.7	0.34	14.1	16.6	-2.44

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	31	33	0.42	-0.92	1.34	-0.17	20	-24	44	14.3	16.7	-2.38	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Chandler Parsons	55	55	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.28	17	-21	38	14.3	18.1	-3.71	14.3	15.4	-1.16
JaVale McGee	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	14.6	16.0	-1.38	13.4	14.9	-1.51
Devin Harris	43	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	14.6	17.0	-2.44	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Charlie Villanueva	14	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	11	-26	16.6	15.7	0.89	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Deron Williams	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-6	8	16.0	15.3	0.71	15.1	13.6	1.46
Raymond Felton	65	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	14	-32	17.3	12.7	4.62	15.3	13.6	1.65
Wesley Matthews	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	1	-6	15.5	16.7	-1.23	15.0	14.2	0.72
Zaza Pachulia	54	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	2	-8	16.8	14.7	2.06	15.9	13.1	2.79
Dirk Nowitzki	61	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	6	-16	16.9	14.0	2.95	14.7	14.9	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.24,0.05,0	91.2%
UTA 102, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.49,0.67,0.62,0.39,0.23,0.08,0	90.9%
MEM 96, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	90.9%