NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	105		Excitement	9.2 [115]		MVP	Henry Walker (MIA): +64.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	3.0 [350]		LVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): -45.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0.65	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.65	0.16	0.49	0.00	10	84%	0.69	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.32,0.19	0.06	0.08	-0.04	27	52%	0.24	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.11
Zoran Dragic	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	17	61%	0.18	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	20	40%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	-0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.46	-0.12	-0.35	-0.02	15	37%	-0.09	4	-0.37	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,0.21	0.21	0.00	0.22	0.02	15	59%	0.41	5	-0.20	7	86%	0.06
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.11	-0.08	0.00	15	63%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	76%	0.21	6	-0.26	3	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	14	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.06	-0.04	13	26%	-0.01	2	-0.15	5	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	30.4	15.6	26.4	2.4	39.6	139.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +45.1%

PHI -8.3%

MIA +4.2%

MIA +6.2%

MIA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.1	106.1	100.0	104.2
season	16.0	14.9		102.4	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.3		103.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.8	15.7	14.4	13.9	14.1
PHI	16.0	16.3	15.0	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	99	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.7	0.0	14.65
Tyler Johnson	99	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.7	0.0	14.65
Michael Beasley	99	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.7	0.0	14.65
James Ennis	99	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.7	0.0	14.65
Zoran Dragic	85	87	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	9	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.92	14.7	14.1	0.59
Udonis Haslem	14	14	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-5	14	14.9	14.0	0.92	14.1	14.7	-0.59

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	53	53	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-10	16	14.8	14.5	0.21	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Glenn Robinson	75	74	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	3	-10	15.2	13.1	2.07	14.5	13.0	1.53
JaKarr Sampson	77	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-3	2	14.5	15.3	-0.84	13.6	15.9	-2.33
Henry Sims	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-5	6	14.7	14.6	0.08	14.5	12.2	2.37
Jerami Grant	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.57	13.8	16.5	-2.76
Hollis Thompson	67	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-4	4	13.9	16.2	-2.30	14.4	13.6	0.84
Robert Covington	62	61	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.32	-15	11	-26	15.1	13.9	1.15	14.1	14.2	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.45,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.04,0	91.7%
MEM 110, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.02,0	91.4%
CHI 102, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.15,0.23,0.15,0	91.4%