NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	138		Excitement	2.5 [1238]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +19.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	1.0 [1302]		LVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): -7.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.00	-0.05	20	65%	0.21	4	-0.02	17	76%	0.02
Dion Waiters	0.09	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	23	63%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	17	68%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	7	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.19	-0.01	0.10	15	76%	0.10	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Arinze Onuaku	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	12	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	13	85%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	41%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	10	65%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	0.07	16	50%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.5	30.6	15.3	27.8	1.7	25.0	130.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +32.8%

OKC +1.2%

OKC +5.0%

OKC +10.6%

OKC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.7	15.1	135.3	110.8	104.2
season	14.5	15.0		105.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.2	15.6	14.9	17.0	14.6
MIN	15.0	12.7	13.4	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.21	23	2	21	13.6	16.5	-2.89	13.9	13.3	0.58
Dion Waiters	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	3	19	14.9	13.6	1.31	14.0	12.8	1.17
Enes Kanter	70	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	7	11	14.4	14.8	-0.37	14.0	13.0	0.96
Steven Adams	44	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	7	11	14.9	14.3	0.54	14.6	13.0	1.60
Andre Roberson	23	24	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	15	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.72	13.7	13.7	-0.01
Kyle Singler	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	16	-7	14.2	14.7	-0.50	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Nick Collison	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	19	-13	14.4	14.8	-0.35	13.5	13.9	-0.43
D.J. Augustin	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	17	-9	15.3	13.8	1.43	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Mitch McGary	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	17	-9	14.7	14.5	0.16	12.2	14.4	-2.21
Anthony Morrow	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	22	-19	14.6	14.5	0.09	13.4	13.8	-0.37
Jeremy Lamb	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	16.0	14.3	1.71	13.9	13.6	0.30

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	47	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-23	21	12.3	14.9	-2.64	16.3	13.2	3.10
Justin Hamilton	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-27	29	13.5	13.7	-0.18	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Lorenzo Brown	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-21	17	11.7	15.2	-3.47	14.8	14.3	0.49
Adreian Payne	51	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-18	11	13.6	13.7	-0.06	14.8	14.3	0.53
Robbie Hummel	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.33	-22	-3	-19	14.5	12.8	1.62	14.5	14.6	-0.03
Zach LaVine	85	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-9	-7	13.8	12.9	0.88	14.9	12.9	2.03
Arinze Onuaku	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.40	-25	0	-25	14.3	12.9	1.41	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Kevin Martin	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	-6	-13	13.8	13.5	0.26	13.9	16.1	-2.26
Andrew Wiggins	81	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.40	-32	7	-39	14.5	10.7	3.79	13.9	16.9	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 113, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SEA 109, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%