NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	2.9 [1197]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +8.5%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.0 [361]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -11.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	22	63%	0.13	7	-0.05	13	92%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	12	68%	0.06	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	17	44%	0.04	4	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	11	58%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	8	55%	0.04	7	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.08	12	62%	0.00	1	0.01	2	100%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	20	47%	0.01	3	-0.03	11	91%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	15	37%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.01	24	42%	-0.07	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	32.4	16.4	32.3	1.8	32.0	139.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.2%

GSW +3.4%

IND -5.6%

GSW +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	13.0	13.1	15.4	102.7	88.3	104.5
season	13.5	15.3		105.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	10.5	14.3	15.7	13.0
IND	14.9	13.1	12.5	11.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	107	108	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	3	9	13.1	8.0	5.12	12.9	21.3	-8.48
Al Harrington	97	98	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	4	7	13.1	12.4	0.68	13.3	11.1	2.27
Matt Barnes	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-3	21	12.8	13.4	-0.65	13.0	13.2	-0.16
Monta Ellis	70	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	0	15	11.8	15.0	-3.17	14.0	11.4	2.54
Andris Biedrins	75	73	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	3	9	13.0	13.0	0.02	13.5	12.3	1.16
Mickael Pietrus	72	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	11	-7	13.7	11.6	2.06	12.8	13.6	-0.77
Adonal Foyle	33	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	10	-5	12.4	13.2	-0.88	12.5	13.4	-0.85
Sarunas Jasikevicius	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	17	-19	14.9	12.5	2.41	10.8	13.6	-2.82

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maceo Baston	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	5.0	13.2	-8.15	23.0	12.8	10.20
Shawne Williams	11	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-15	15	11.1	13.3	-2.21	14.2	12.8	1.42
Keith McLeod	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-14	13	10.3	13.4	-3.08	14.5	12.8	1.70
Troy Murphy	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-14	13	13.7	12.8	0.88	13.4	12.8	0.56
Ike Diogu	25	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-6	-3	12.8	13.2	-0.31	12.7	13.0	-0.31
Darrell Armstrong	64	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-8	1	13.0	13.3	-0.30	12.4	13.7	-1.21
Rawle Marshall	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-4	-7	14.2	12.7	1.48	12.9	13.0	-0.17
Jeff Foster	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-1	-13	13.9	12.8	1.12	12.9	13.0	-0.16
Jamaal Tinsley	79	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	12.9	13.5	-0.59	13.0	13.0	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	86	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-9	3	13.2	12.8	0.31	13.0	12.7	0.31
Danny Granger	94	91	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	12.8	14.6	-1.85	12.9	13.5	-0.66
Mike Dunleavy	86	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	13.5	11.8	1.71	12.8	13.7	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 142, PHX 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
OKC 138, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MIA 105, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%