NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	142		Excitement	2.3 [1259]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +19.9%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.2 [1287]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -7.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.29	0.00	0.09	22	77%	0.24	5	-0.04	18	100%	0.04
Ryan Anderson	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.20	0.03	0.05	12	86%	0.18	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nene	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	48%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Zhou Qi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.06	15	77%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.08	14	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	43%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	-0.16	13	10%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	16	50%	-0.02	5	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	34.3	14.7	26.7	3.4	26.6	134.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +23.1%

HOU +19.1%

HOU +0.9%

HOU +5.6%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	13.9	14.7	131.5	107.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.8	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.8		111.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	11.1	13.0	13.0	14.2	12.8
PHX	14.1	14.2	12.7	14.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	64	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.23	22	4	18	12.6	13.1	-0.57	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Chris Paul	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	14	-2	13.0	12.6	0.35	13.4	14.2	-0.75
Trevor Ariza	81	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.30	22	4	18	12.7	13.0	-0.27	14.1	13.3	0.77
Eric Gordon	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.31	22	4	18	12.1	13.6	-1.42	14.1	13.6	0.47
James Harden	78	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	11	4	12.7	13.0	-0.24	14.3	12.8	1.53
Nene	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.15	15	11	4	11.8	13.3	-1.43	12.4	14.6	-2.22
PJ Tucker	75	74	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	14	-2	12.9	12.5	0.36	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Clint Capela	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	12	2	12.8	12.8	-0.05	14.6	13.3	1.32
Tarik Black	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	14.2	12.4	1.83	14.6	13.7	0.95
Zhou Qi	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	14.8	12.4	2.44	13.4	14.0	-0.54
Bobby Brown	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	13.6	12.7	0.89	14.5	13.8	0.75

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquese Chriss	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-26	26	12.9	14.3	-1.39	13.5	12.4	1.05
Mike James	46	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-15	4	13.4	14.2	-0.76	12.5	13.0	-0.47
Tyler Ulis	48	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-15	4	14.3	13.5	0.76	13.1	12.5	0.60
Greg Monroe	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-24	22	14.3	13.4	0.85	12.8	12.7	0.10
Troy Daniels	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-20	14	13.9	13.8	0.16	13.6	11.9	1.76
Josh Jackson	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-17	8	13.3	14.7	-1.33	13.2	12.3	0.90
Alex Len	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.40	-24	-2	-22	13.4	14.3	-0.85	12.7	12.8	-0.10
Dragan Bender	51	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.31	-21	-5	-16	15.2	12.7	2.51	11.7	13.7	-1.94
TJ Warren	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.29	-23	-3	-20	14.0	13.7	0.22	12.5	13.1	-0.63
Devin Booker	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	-3	-20	13.7	14.1	-0.40	12.4	13.6	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
CLE 101, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CLE 124, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%