NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	1.9 [1299]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +5.8%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	1.0 [1305]		LVP	Jose Calderon (NYK): -8.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	14	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	10	75%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	17	46%	0.05	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	11	77%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	70%	0.03	4	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Amundson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	12	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	9	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	0.06	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	43%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	9	22%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	27.2	15.8	24.4	2.5	24.5	120.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.8%

CLE +2.5%

NYK -0.5%

CLE +1.8%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.1	108.6	89.2	104.2
season	15.9	16.1		108.7	98.5
opponent	15.0	14.9		108.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.5	14.2	15.7	17.4	14.9
NYK	18.8	15.8	13.7	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.38	28	-10	38	13.8	16.8	-2.99	16.2	15.7	0.46
J.R. Smith	57	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	-8	34	14.4	15.7	-1.28	16.4	15.5	0.82
Kyrie Irving	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-1	20	14.3	15.8	-1.52	16.2	15.8	0.32
LeBron James	57	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	4	10	14.2	16.1	-1.83	15.2	17.5	-2.31
Tristan Thompson	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	8	2	15.1	14.8	0.33	17.3	15.1	2.21
Iman Shumpert	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	10	-2	15.3	14.5	0.78	16.9	14.8	2.13
Timofey Mozgov	49	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	6	6	14.3	15.6	-1.33	15.3	16.9	-1.67
Matthew Dellavedova	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	19	-20	15.8	14.3	1.52	15.8	16.2	-0.32
James Jones	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	28	-38	17.4	14.0	3.40	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Brendan Haywood	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	17.0	14.6	2.37	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Joe Harris	17	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	30	-42	17.9	14.3	3.68	15.0	16.2	-1.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexey Shved	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	14.1	16.2	-2.04	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Cole Aldrich	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-18	18	16.5	16.0	0.52	18.1	14.6	3.55
Quincy Acy	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-16	14	17.2	15.7	1.49	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Travis Wear	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-20	22	16.8	15.6	1.15	16.9	13.8	3.12
Cleanthony Early	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.24	-14	-4	-10	18.6	15.5	3.06	12.8	15.3	-2.55
Lance Thomas	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-14	10	15.0	17.2	-2.22	14.9	15.0	-0.17
Jason Smith	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-5	-8	15.6	16.5	-0.93	15.6	14.3	1.38
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-17	16	16.6	15.1	1.53	15.0	14.8	0.16
Andrea Bargnani	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-13	8	16.4	15.6	0.76	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Lou Amundson	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	0	-18	15.5	16.5	-0.97	13.8	16.0	-2.29
Jose Calderon	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.18	-18	0	-18	15.8	16.3	-0.48	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Langston Galloway	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	-1	-16	15.7	17.3	-1.61	15.1	14.1	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
NJN 120, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
CHA 137, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%