NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	137		Excitement	1.8 [1300]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +8.0%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.1 [1178]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (ORL): -8.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	9	90%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	9	89%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	54%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	15	66%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.18	0.00	0.16	14	76%	0.03	1	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	6	92%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Paige	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	13	70%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	37%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Rodney Purvis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jamel Artis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	-0.02	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	8	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	56%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	29%	-0.08	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	24.0	15.3	23.5	2.3	26.3	118.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +30.0%

CHA +7.5%

CHA +12.5%

ORL -0.1%

CHA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	13.1	16.1	14.7	139.8	101.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		108.7	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.5		109.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.1	13.4	13.2	12.7	13.1
ORL	14.5	17.2	16.2	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.30	23	14	9	12.8	13.5	-0.76	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Marvin Williams	43	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.21	18	19	-1	13.0	13.2	-0.18	16.4	15.9	0.55
Kemba Walker	46	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.26	20	17	3	12.6	13.6	-1.01	16.5	15.8	0.74
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	17	3	12.7	13.4	-0.72	16.5	15.8	0.70
Nicolas Batum	40	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.08	12	25	-13	13.7	12.7	1.05	16.1	16.1	0.04
Malik Monk	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.44	23	14	9	13.0	13.2	-0.19	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Julyan Stone	53	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.32	17	20	-3	13.4	12.7	0.72	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Frank Kaminsky	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.38	19	18	1	13.2	13.0	0.18	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Jeremy Lamb	43	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.61	27	10	17	12.0	14.0	-2.01	16.3	16.0	0.24
Willy Hernangomez	40	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.29	14	23	-9	13.5	12.8	0.76	16.5	15.9	0.56
Marcus Paige	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	45	-53	17.5	12.5	5.01	14.4	16.3	-1.98

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-27	17	17.2	15.9	1.27	13.8	13.0	0.82
Marreese Speights	48	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.34	-16	-21	5	16.3	15.9	0.41	13.3	12.9	0.32
Rodney Purvis	54	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.31	-17	-20	3	15.8	16.5	-0.67	13.5	12.6	0.89
Shelvin Mack	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.47	-23	-14	-9	16.3	16.0	0.24	13.5	12.8	0.76
Khem Birch	56	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.52	-25	-12	-13	15.8	16.5	-0.65	12.4	14.2	-1.81
Mario Hezonja	49	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-20	3	16.1	16.2	-0.12	12.9	13.3	-0.44
Bismack Biyombo	43	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-25	13	16.5	15.8	0.65	14.2	12.4	1.81
D.J. Augustin	41	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-19	1	16.2	16.1	0.17	12.0	13.8	-1.77
Jamel Artis	70	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	-13	-11	16.1	16.1	0.07	13.1	13.1	-0.04
Wes Iwundu	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.27	-23	-14	-9	15.9	17.0	-1.07	13.0	13.4	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
ORL 109, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
PHI 112, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%