inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 110 Excitement1.6 [1310] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +10.1%
Chicago Bulls 78 Comeback1.1 [403] LVPTaj Gibson (CHI): -8.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.100,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.200.000.101281%0.1000.007100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.020.05883%0.062-0.012100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.03852%0.051-0.005100%0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01850%0.0300.002100%0.00
Jarrett Jack0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.05460%0.033-0.02250%0.00
Antoine Wright0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.02859%0.011-0.001100%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.021045%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Sonny Weems0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05337%0.0020.00250%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02325%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01567%0.012-0.022100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.041152%0.001-0.0210%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02740%0.0200.0010%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.08617%0.0010.0000%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.051254%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05390%0.022-0.03475%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.051539%-0.0120.00367%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02947%-0.012-0.031100%-0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.020.000.06852%-0.021-0.01580%-0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03937%-0.012-0.03650%-0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.120.00-0.04330%-0.044-0.04425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.81.827.015.826.22.425.4130.4
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +27.0%
TOR +11.5%
TOR +1.9%
TOR +8.1%
TOR +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game16.416.715.3126.489.7106.0
season15.014.7109.6101.9
opponent15.715.5103.9111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.715.320.914.416.4
CHI16.316.816.916.916.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh39400.470.030.44-0.5936-44016.916.00.9417.116.40.70
Antoine Wright40410.390.110.28-0.202012815.017.5-2.4616.317.1-0.82
DeMar DeRozan43430.370.130.24-0.302391417.515.22.2816.916.50.41
Jarrett Jack59610.300.200.10-0.141517-215.318.7-3.5016.716.8-0.17
Andrea Bargnani50480.280.220.07-0.191616018.313.74.6117.016.40.57
Rasho Nesterovic40400.230.27-0.04-0.241616014.018.4-4.4516.317.1-0.83
Jose Calderon33310.190.31-0.11-0.221418-418.215.23.0016.916.60.33
Marco Belinelli44440.130.37-0.24-0.14923-1415.217.5-2.2816.516.9-0.41
Hedo Turkoglu33330.110.39-0.28-0.241220-818.715.03.7318.215.82.35
Amir Johnson23230.030.47-0.45-0.00131-3016.916.20.6717.316.50.79
Sonny Weems14140.000.50-0.500.00032-3214.716.7-1.9813.517.3-3.84
Pops Mensah-Bonsu17170.000.50-0.500.06-234-3614.716.8-2.0816.116.9-0.83

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter4948-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-302817.016.30.6815.517.4-1.87
Aaron Gray1920-0.11-0.390.280.10-7-251816.016.9-0.9315.016.8-1.79
James Johnson2627-0.14-0.360.220.18-11-211016.816.70.0616.016.6-0.60
Joakim Noah3233-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-241616.816.70.1418.015.42.56
Jannero Pargo4141-0.15-0.350.200.15-10-221216.017.4-1.3714.917.7-2.75
Luol Deng5253-0.33-0.17-0.170.25-20-12-816.317.3-1.0417.814.23.62
Derrick Rose4950-0.36-0.14-0.220.29-22-10-1216.417.1-0.6317.115.41.69
Taj Gibson4444-0.38-0.12-0.250.42-27-5-2216.517.0-0.5516.716.00.66
Brad Miller4744-0.38-0.12-0.270.32-24-8-1617.216.11.1115.517.3-1.73
John Salmons7675-0.40-0.10-0.300.45-29-3-2617.412.44.9916.416.5-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 112, DEN 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.5%
SAS 118, WAS 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.1%
HOU 129, SAC 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.1%